Waterloo Region Connected
The COVID-19 pandemic - Printable Version

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RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - ac3r - 04-09-2021

Starting Monday, the province has ordered hospitals across Ontario to terminate all non-emergency operations to cope with surging ICU numbers: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/covid-19-ontario-hospitals-elective-surgery-icu-patients-1.5980755

RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - Acitta - 04-09-2021

‘It was a choice’: Bruce Arthur on how Ontario is mismanaging COVID’s third wave

RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 04-09-2021

10-day averages for key regions in Ontario, plus the weekly trend as of 2021-04-09 (posting this every two days).

RegionCases todayper 100K10-day averageper 100KWeekly trend
Peel
762
55.1
564
40.8
+40%
Toronto
1,218
41.6
949
32.4
+27%
York
532
47.9
344
30.9
+54%
Middlesex-London
159
39.3
108
26.8
+33%
Durham
247
38.2
158
24.4
+40%
Niagara
107
23.9
90
20.0
+30%
Hamilton
133
23.0
113
19.5
-14%
Ottawa
246
24.7
188
18.8
+37%
Halton
174
31.7
99
18.1
+93%
Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph
64
23.5
48
17.7
+65%
Eastern Ontario
64
31.6
35
17.1
+53%
Brant
30
22.1
23
16.6
+57%
Simcoe-Muskoka
96
17.8
74
13.6
+62%
Lambton
35
26.7
17
12.8
+8%
Windsor-Essex
69
17.7
46
11.9
+9%
Waterloo
67
10.8
56
9.1
+45%
Thunder Bay
7
4.7
13
8.4
-97%
Southwestern Ontario
24
12.0
16
7.9
+5%
Leeds, Grenville & Lanark
22
12.9
12
7.1
+125%
Chatham-Kent
9
8.5
7
6.4
-24%
Northwestern
9
10.3
6
6.3
+14%
Sudbury
23
5.9
22
5.8
+9%
Kingston Frontenac
18
8.8
11
5.4
+166%
Huron Perth
8
8.2
4
4.4
+83%
Ontario total
+36%


RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 04-09-2021

(04-09-2021, 09:48 AM)ac3r Wrote: Starting Monday, the province has ordered hospitals across Ontario to terminate all non-emergency operations to cope with surging ICU numbers: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/covid-19-ontario-hospitals-elective-surgery-icu-patients-1.5980755

It's ugly all right.

   

RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 04-09-2021

(04-08-2021, 10:24 PM)tomh009 Wrote:
(04-08-2021, 07:13 PM)danbrotherston Wrote: Do we have an official (or an unofficial but first hand) source on this?

Ultimately, I wish there was better transparency about this kind of thing, I mean, the government likes to claim it's being transparent, but I've seen very little evidence (namely, you know, actual transparency) on the policies being implemented.

Dr. Hsiu-Li Wang (chief medical officer) has said the distribution is not equitable. Mind you, I don't have a quote from her from this week.

York (with 1.6x our population) has delivered 2.2x the doses of Waterloo Region. I don't think our region is sitting on an inventory of doses, either. But, admittedly, York has 4.5x the per-100K infection rate so the situation is definitely more desperate there.

RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - JoeKW - 04-09-2021

Yeah this is clearly a triage situation and is probably the humanitarian thing to do.

RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - Bjays93 - 04-09-2021

Today's numbers are ugly. And they will keep rising for at least another week. The outlook isnt that great and tons of people were still out yesterday.

RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 04-09-2021

(04-09-2021, 12:11 PM)Bjays93 Wrote: Today's numbers are ugly. And they will keep rising for at least another week. The outlook isnt that great and tons of people were still out yesterday.

Yes, mid-to-late next week before any impact from the stay-at-home will be visible. I expect we'll hit 5,500 cases provincially and maybe 6,000. Hopefully the new rules will help turn that around before it's 7,000.

I'm less worried about outside activity, in the end, than indoor parties, family events and other activities.

RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - danbrotherston - 04-09-2021

(04-09-2021, 11:38 AM)JoeKW Wrote: Yeah this is clearly a triage situation and is probably the humanitarian thing to do.

No, I agree its the right choice.

What I wish is that we had more transparency into these things.

RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 04-09-2021

FRIDAY 2021-04-09

Waterloo Region reported 74 new cases for today (16.8% of the active cases) and one fewer for yesterday for a total of 56; 431 new cases for the week (+15), averaging 15.8% of active cases. 438 active cases, +113 in the last seven days.

An average of 1,371 tests per day for the past week for a positivity rate of 4.28%.

3,365 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 2,546 -- the number for today is improved but the average still dropped as this is the first "good" day since 01 April. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the regional population on 2021-08-14 (+2 days).

Ontario reported 4,227 new cases today, with a seven-day average of 3,256 (+163). 2,641 recoveries and 18 deaths translated to an increase of 1,568 active cases and a new total of 29,627. +7,611 active cases for the week and 100 deaths (14 per day). 61,410 tests for a positivity rate of 6.88%. The positivity rate is averaging 6.62% for the past seven days, compared to 4.88% for the preceding seven.

552 patients in ICU (+56 today, +117 for the week) and 1,492 total hospital beds in use (+330 for the week).

105,832 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 82,239. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-07-03 (-3 days). The regional completion date currently lags the provincial one by 41 days (+4 today).
  • 762 cases in Peel: 55.1 per 100K
  • 532 cases in York: 47.9 per 100K
  • 1,218 cases in Toronto: 41.6 per 100K
  • 159 cases in Middlesex-London: 39.3 per 100K
  • 247 cases in Durham: 38.2 per 100K
  • 174 cases in Halton: 31.7 per 100K
  • 64 cases in Eastern Ontario: 31.6 per 100K
  • 35 cases in Lambton: 26.7 per 100K
  • 246 cases in Ottawa: 24.7 per 100K
  • 107 cases in Niagara: 23.9 per 100K
  • 64 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 23.5 per 100K
  • 133 cases in Hamilton: 23.0 per 100K
  • 30 cases in Brant: 22.1 per 100K
  • 96 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 17.8 per 100K
  • 69 cases in Windsor-Essex: 17.7 per 100K
  • 22 cases in Leeds, Grenville & Lanark: 12.9 per 100K
  • 24 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 12.0 per 100K
  • 67 cases in Waterloo: 10.8 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
  • 9 cases in Northwestern: 10.3 per 100K
  • 18 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 8.8 per 100K
  • 9 cases in Chatham-Kent: 8.5 per 100K
  • 8 cases in Huron Perth: 8.2 per 100K
  • 23 cases in Sudbury: 5.9 per 100K
  • 7 cases in Thunder Bay: 4.7 per 100K

Only regions with at least two cases per 100,000 population

RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 04-10-2021

SATURDAY 2021-04-10

Waterloo Region reported 70 new cases for today (14.7% of the active cases) and seven more for yesterday for a total of 81; 450 new cases for the week (+19), averaging 15.7% of active cases. 499 active cases, +122 in the last seven days.

Next testing report on Tuesday.

Next vaccination report on Monday.

Ontario reported 3,813 new cases today, with a seven-day average of 3,371 (+115). 2,422 recoveries and 19 deaths translated to an increase of 1,372 active cases and a new total of 30,999. +7,809 active cases for the week and 103 deaths (15 per day). 61,439 tests for a positivity rate of 6.21%. The positivity rate is averaging 6.78% for the past seven days, compared to 5.04% for the preceding seven.

585 patients in ICU (+33 today, +134 for the week) and 1,524 total hospital beds in use.

104,783 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 88,698. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-06-27 (-6 days).
  • 669 cases in Peel: 48.4 per 100K
  • 281 cases in Durham: 43.5 per 100K
  • 442 cases in York: 39.8 per 100K
  • 98 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 36.0 per 100K
  • 141 cases in Middlesex-London: 34.8 per 100K
  • 973 cases in Toronto: 33.2 per 100K
  • 289 cases in Ottawa: 29.0 per 100K
  • 120 cases in Niagara: 26.8 per 100K
  • 146 cases in Hamilton: 25.2 per 100K
  • 113 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 20.9 per 100K
  • 112 cases in Halton: 20.4 per 100K
  • 27 cases in Brant: 19.9 per 100K
  • 19 cases in Lambton: 14.5 per 100K
  • 12 cases in Northwestern: 13.7 per 100K
  • 20 cases in Thunder Bay: 13.3 per 100K
  • 76 cases in Waterloo: 12.3 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
  • 23 cases in Eastern Ontario: 11.3 per 100K
  • 37 cases in Windsor-Essex: 9.5 per 100K
  • 18 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 9.0 per 100K
  • 17 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 8.3 per 100K
  • 30 cases in Sudbury: 7.7 per 100K
  • 12 cases in Leeds, Grenville & Lanark: 7.1 per 100K
  • 6 cases in Huron Perth: 6.1 per 100K
  • 6 cases in Chatham-Kent: 5.7 per 100K

Only regions with at least two cases per 100,000 population

RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - danbrotherston - 04-10-2021

These are VERY bad numbers for Ontario...only pretty bad for Waterloo.

I hear London is also VERY bad.

RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 04-10-2021

(04-10-2021, 09:36 PM)danbrotherston Wrote: These are VERY bad numbers for Ontario...only pretty bad for Waterloo.

I hear London is also VERY bad.

Indeed they are. Will the stay-at-home help? I really don't know at this point.

The order went into effect on Thursday morning. Five or so days minimum to start seeing some impact (assuming there is one) -- based on days from infection to positive test -- plus two days of provincial reporting lag, so Thursday-ish. I hope it works, because I don't know that they have anything better in reserve.

And the ICU numbers will get much worse yet, even if stay-at-home works.

RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 04-11-2021

10-day averages for key regions in Ontario, plus the weekly trend as of 2021-04-11 (posting this every two days).

RegionCases todayper 100K10-day averageper 100KWeekly trend
Peel
860
62.2
625
45.2
+43%
Toronto
1,353
46.2
1,029
35.1
+22%
York
444
40.0
379
34.1
+43%
Durham
329
50.9
196
30.4
+72%
Middlesex-London
159
39.3
122
30.1
+32%
Ottawa
377
37.9
229
23.0
+53%
Niagara
120
26.8
103
22.9
+12%
Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph
61
22.4
59
21.5
+44%
Halton
118
21.5
109
19.8
+49%
Hamilton
116
20.0
112
19.3
+19%
Brant
35
25.7
25
18.5
+57%
Eastern Ontario
53
26.1
37
18.0
+38%
Simcoe-Muskoka
101
18.7
85
15.8
+43%
Lambton
24
18.3
18
13.6
+20%
Windsor-Essex
34
8.7
45
11.5
-12%
Waterloo
63
10.2
62
10.0
+27%
Leeds, Grenville & Lanark
22
12.9
14
8.3
+76%
Southwestern Ontario
18
9.0
16
8.0
+23%
Northwestern
13
14.8
7
8.0
+96%
Kingston Frontenac
23
11.3
14
6.9
+122%
Thunder Bay
7
4.7
10
6.4
-23%
Chatham-Kent
6
5.7
7
6.1
-30%
Sudbury
22
5.7
24
6.1
+8%
Huron Perth
9
9.2
5
5.4
+74%
Ontario total
+35%
[/quote]

RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 04-11-2021

SUNDAY 2021-04-11

Waterloo Region reported 51 new cases for today (14.7% of the active cases) and none more for yesterday for a total of 70; 463 new cases for the week (+13), averaging 15.8% of active cases. 492 active cases, +130 in the last seven days.

Next testing report on Tuesday.

Next vaccination report on Monday.

Ontario reported 4,456 new cases today, another new record, with a seven-day average of 3,573 (+202). 2,617 recoveries and 21 deaths translated to an increase of 1,818 active cases and a new total of 32,817. +8,497 active cases for the week and 112 deaths (16 per day). 56,378 tests for a positivity rate of 7.90%. The positivity rate is averaging 6.97% for the past seven days, compared to 5.28% for the preceding seven.

605 patients in ICU (+20 today, +129 for the week).

94,794 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 92,365. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-06-24 (-3 days).
  • 860 cases in Peel: 62.2 per 100K
  • 329 cases in Durham: 50.9 per 100K
  • 1,353 cases in Toronto: 46.2 per 100K
  • 444 cases in York: 40.0 per 100K
  • 159 cases in Middlesex-London: 39.3 per 100K
  • 377 cases in Ottawa: 37.9 per 100K
  • 120 cases in Niagara: 26.8 per 100K
  • 53 cases in Eastern Ontario: 26.1 per 100K
  • 35 cases in Brant: 25.7 per 100K
  • 61 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 22.4 per 100K
  • 118 cases in Halton: 21.5 per 100K
  • 116 cases in Hamilton: 20.0 per 100K
  • 101 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 18.7 per 100K
  • 24 cases in Lambton: 18.3 per 100K
  • 13 cases in Northwestern: 14.8 per 100K
  • 22 cases in Leeds, Grenville & Lanark: 12.9 per 100K
  • 23 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 11.3 per 100K
  • 63 cases in Waterloo: 10.2 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
  • 9 cases in Huron Perth: 9.2 per 100K
  • 18 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 9.0 per 100K
  • 34 cases in Windsor-Essex: 8.7 per 100K
  • 6 cases in Chatham-Kent: 5.7 per 100K
  • 22 cases in Sudbury: 5.7 per 100K
  • 7 cases in Thunder Bay: 4.7 per 100K

Only regions with at least two cases per 100,000 population