God mi vacimnation twodai, eberting iz ecelente. Iz yo haz quesionz, pleese don hezzitate two senz mee a PM.
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The COVID-19 pandemic
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The COVID-19 pandemic
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The COVID-19 pandemic
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04-24-2021, 08:39 PM
04-25-2021, 11:41 AM
10-day averages for key regions in Ontario, plus the weekly trend as of 2021-04-25 (posting this every two days).
04-25-2021, 03:47 PM
SUNDAY 2021-04-25
Waterloo Region reported 99 new cases for today (15.3% of the active cases) and five more for yesterday for a total of 126; 665 new cases for the week (+22), averaging 15.3% of active cases. 701 active cases, +99 in the last seven days. Next testing report on Tuesday. Next vaccination report on Monday. Ontario reported 3,947 new cases today with a seven-day average of (also!) 4,051 (-43). 4,239 recoveries and 24 deaths translated to a decrease of 316 active cases and a new total of 41,157. -431 active cases for the week -- the first weekly drop since early March -- and 195 deaths (28 per day). 46,694 tests for a positivity rate of 8.45%. The positivity rate is averaging 8.31% for the past seven days, compared to 7.98% for the preceding seven. 851 patients in ICU (+18 today, +110 for the week). 99,535 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 112,717. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-06-11 (-1 day).
Only regions with at least two cases per 100,000 population
04-25-2021, 03:55 PM
While our region seems to be getting hit harder by the variants, things look to be stabilizing at the provincial level. The number of new cases has stopped its skyward climb and the number of active cases (ie the ones who can infect other people) is slowly dropping (see top circle). The number of new cases as % of actives is dropping quickly, potentially thanks to the vaccines (fewer people to infect) and the positivity rate has stopped its climb, at least for now.
On the other hand, the growth in ICU beds continues, as should be expected, as this indicator lags the new cases. Assuming the new cases don't run rampant once again, we should hope to see the ICU number stabilize in a week or so, possibly two. 
04-25-2021, 04:13 PM
One exception I'd make...
The "active cases" are the identified cases...I'd *HOPE* those ones are least likely to infect others...they *SHOULD* be taking all possible precautions to isolate. Certainly in light of the lack of sick days, and to a lesser extent to some people's sociopathic behaviour, I'm sure some of them will be infecting others, but I would HOPE that those who would infect others are mostly the as of yet unknown cases, which hypothetically hopefully track with the active cases.
04-25-2021, 08:09 PM
(04-25-2021, 04:13 PM)danbrotherston Wrote: One exception I'd make... It's quite correct. There are also unidentified, typically asymptomatic, cases. But this has been the case since last spring, so using the identified active cases as a proxy should give us directionally correct data, just not the right magnitude. And this is the only data we have ...
04-25-2021, 08:17 PM
(04-25-2021, 08:09 PM)tomh009 Wrote:(04-25-2021, 04:13 PM)danbrotherston Wrote: One exception I'd make... Yeah, I'm definitely being pedantic. 
04-26-2021, 02:29 PM
04-26-2021, 04:51 PM
MONDAY 2021-04-26
Waterloo Region reported 45 new cases for today (6.4% of the active cases) and two more for yesterday for a total of 101; 654 new cases for the week (-11), averaging 14.9% of active cases. 665 active cases, +44 in the last seven days. Next testing report on Tuesday. 10,905 doses of vaccine administered over the last three days, with a seven-day average of 4,372. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the regional population on 2021-06-22 (-1 day). Ontario reported 3,510 new cases today with a seven-day average of 3,917 (-134). 4,057 recoveries and 24 deaths translated to a decrease of 571 active cases and a new total of 40,586. -2,277 active cases for the week and 200 deaths (29 per day). 33,822 tests for a positivity rate of 10.38%. The positivity rate is averaging 8.31% for the past seven days, compared to 8.15% for the preceding seven. 877 patients in ICU (+26 today, +122 for the week). 69,308 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 113,062. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-06-11 (+0 days).
Only regions with at least two cases per 100,000 population 
CBC has announced that the military will be deploying across the province to help take some strain off health care workers and the hospitals: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/c...-1.6002130
Edit: The province of Newfoundland will also be dispatching some assistance to the province: https://twitter.com/ColinDMello/status/1...0189290497
04-26-2021, 09:21 PM
I don't have a link, but apparently some Stratford media mentioned that their hospitals are now taking patients from Waterloo Region. Their ICU is now full as is ours (sans a few beds for other needs). I didn't have any idea we were shipping our own citizens out of the region already.
04-26-2021, 09:23 PM
(04-26-2021, 09:21 PM)ac3r Wrote: I don't have a link, but apparently some Stratford media mentioned that their hospitals are now taking patients from Waterloo Region. Their ICU is now full as is ours (sans a few beds for other needs). I didn't have any idea we were shipping our own citizens out of the region already. Probably because a bunch of our beds are being used by patients from elsewhere.
04-27-2021, 01:14 PM
10-day averages for key regions in Ontario, plus the weekly trend as of 2021-04-27 (posting this every two days).
Seems like the federal government is getting pretty sick and tired of the OPC inaction here. Yesterday they said they're sending the military in whether Ford wants it or not, today they're insisting that they the province provide paid sick days instead of leeching off the federal programs: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/o...-1.6003527
This comes right after the OPC voted no earlier today to legislate them: https://twitter.com/ColinDMello/status/1...5530129423 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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