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07-31-2021, 01:22 PM
(This post was last modified: 07-31-2021, 01:23 PM by jeffster.)
Current 7-day Covid-19 cases per 100k
• Grey Bruce Health Unit 32.4
• Region of Waterloo Public Health and Emergency Services 21.2
• City of Hamilton Public Health Services 19.9
• Porcupine Health Unit 14.4
• Haliburton, Kawartha, Pine Ridge District Health Unit 13.2
• Chatham-Kent Public Health 12.2
• Durham Region Health Department 10.5
• Southwestern Public Health 10.4
• Peel Public Health 9.7
• Halton Region Public Health 9.7
---snip---
• Timiskaming Health Unit 0.0
• Northwestern Health Unit 0.0
• Leeds, Grenville & Lanark District Health Unit 0.-5
• TOTAL ONTARIO 8.6
RoW and the province continue their upward trend. Possibly we'll be the hot spot again in a few days.
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08-01-2021, 04:33 PM
SATURDAY 2021-07-31
Waterloo Region reported 27 new cases for today (19.4% of the active cases) and two fewer for yesterday for 22; 121 new cases for the week (+10 from yesterday and +0 from last week), averaging 13.3% of active cases. 152 active cases, +9 in the last seven days.
Next testing report on Tuesday.
Next vaccination report on Monday.
Ontario reported 258 new cases today with a seven-day average of 183 (+13), compared to 159 a week ago. 137 recoveries and six deaths translated to an increase of 182 active cases and a new total of 1,606. +115 active cases for the week and 34 deaths (five per day). 19,112 tests with a positivity rate of 1.35%. The positivity rate is averaging 1.07% for the past seven days, compared to 0.96% for the preceding seven. 83 patients in ICU (-3 today, -16 for the week) with COVID-19.
81,590 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average at 87,220 (previous week was 124,155). 71.15% of total provincial population vaccinated (+0.10% from yesterday, +0.72% from 7 days ago), 61.04% fully vaccinated (+0.45% from yesterday, +3.43% from 7 days ago).
New case variants reported today (these are substantially delayed so they do not match the new case numbers): - Alpha (B.1.1.7): 2
- Beta (B.1.351): 0
- Delta (B.1.617): 176 (57% of variants over the past 10 days)
- Gamma (P.1): 0
- 8 cases in Grey Bruce: 4.9 per 100K
- 27 cases in Hamilton: 4.7 per 100K
- 28 cases in Waterloo: 4.5 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
- 22 cases in Durham: 3.4 per 100K
- 33 cases in York: 3.0 per 100K
- 11 cases in Middlesex-London: 2.7 per 100K
- 6 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 2.2 per 100K
- 12 cases in Halton: 2.2 per 100K
- 4 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 2.0 per 100K
- 26 cases in Peel: 1.9 per 100K
- 53 cases in Toronto: 1.8 per 100K
- 6 cases in Niagara: 1.3 per 100K
- 2 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 1.0 per 100K
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10-day averages for key regions in Ontario, plus the weekly trend as of 2021-07-31 (posting this every Saturday).
| Region | Cases today | per 100K | 10-day average | per 100K | Weekly trend |
|---|
Grey Bruce | 8 | 4.9 | 10 | 6.2 | -51% |
Hamilton | 14 | 4.7 | 16 | 2.8 | +16% |
Waterloo | 12 | 4.5 | 17 | 2.8 | -34% |
Chatham-Kent | 1 | .9 | 2 | 1.8 | +20% |
Middlesex-London | 16 | 2.7 | 7 | 1.7 | +5% |
Peel | 33 | 1.9 | 22 | 1.6 | +4% |
Durham | 13 | 3.4 | 10 | 1.5 | +26% |
Halton | 5 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.4 | +15% |
Toronto | 40 | 1.8 | 39 | 1.3 | +16% |
Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph | 1 | 2.2 | 4 | 1.3 | -34% |
York | 23 | 3.0 | 13 | 1.2 | +28% |
Southwestern Ontario | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | 1.2 | +0% |
|
Ontario total
| | | | |
+28%
|
This sure looks like the start of another (fourth?) wave.
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\ SUNDAY 2021-08-01
Waterloo Region reported 11 new cases for today (7.4% of the active cases) and zero fewer for yesterday for 27; 123 new cases for the week (+2 from yesterday and +20 from last week), averaging 13.5% of active cases. 152 active cases, +21 in the last seven days.
Next testing report on Tuesday.
Next vaccination report on Monday.
Ontario reported 218 new cases today with a seven-day average of 189 (+6), compared to 158 a week ago. 155 recoveries and two deaths translated to an increase of 61 active cases and a new total of 1,667. +21 active cases for the week and 34 deaths (five per day). 14,122 tests with a positivity rate of 1.54%. The positivity rate is averaging 1.12% for the past seven days, compared to 0.96% for the preceding seven. 83 patients in ICU (-3 today, -16 for the week) with COVID-19.
60,583 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average at 81,044 (previous week was 119,749). 71.23% of total provincial population vaccinated (+0.08% from yesterday, +0.69% from 7 days ago), 61.38% fully vaccinated (+0.34% from yesterday, +3.16% from 7 days ago).
New case variants reported today (these are substantially delayed so they do not match the new case numbers): - Alpha (B.1.1.7): 2
- Beta (B.1.351): 0
- Delta (B.1.617): 176 (57% of variants over the past 10 days)
- Gamma (P.1): 0
- 8 cases in Grey Bruce: 4.9 per 100K
- 11 cases in Middlesex-London: 4.0 per 100K
- 27 cases in Hamilton: 2.4 per 100K
- 26 cases in Peel: 2.4 per 100K
- 33 cases in York: 2.1 per 100K
- 22 cases in Durham: 2.0 per 100K
- 28 cases in Waterloo: 1.9 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
- 4 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 1.5 per 100K
- 53 cases in Toronto: 1.4 per 100K
- cases in Thunder Bay: 1.3 per 100K
- 3 cases in Windsor-Essex: 1.0 per 100K
- 1 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 1.0 per 100K
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Current 7-day Covid-19 cases per 100k
• Grey Bruce Health Unit 32.4
• Region of Waterloo Public Health and Emergency Services 22.1
• City of Hamilton Public Health Services 20.4
• Haliburton, Kawartha, Pine Ridge District Health Unit 15.9
• Middlesex-London Health Unit 11.4
• Southwestern Public Health 11.3
• Chatham-Kent Public Health 11.3
• Porcupine Health Unit 10.8
• Durham Region Health Department 10.8
• Peel Public Health 10.3
---snip---
• Timiskaming Health Unit 0.0
• Northwestern Health Unit 0.0
• Algoma Public Health 0.0
• TOTAL ONTARIO 8.9
I'll be posting late for the next few days as I am in Toronto for some meetings.
While the numbers themselves don't look great (as we're slowly getting higher), it is important to keep in mind that hospitalizations continue to fall, as do number of patients in the ICU. This means that the vaccine is working as it should, though it also shows the importance that the 19% holdouts (of 12 and up) need to get a shot in their arm, and/or authorizing, once it is safe to do so, injections of Pfizer (the most likely candidate) for 6 mo to 11 years.
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If the vaccine doesn't stop you from getting it though, doesn't that mean the numbers will continue to be there, but as you said the hospitalizations will continue to fall?
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(08-02-2021, 07:59 AM)Spokes Wrote: If the vaccine doesn't stop you from getting it though, doesn't that mean the numbers will continue to be there, but as you said the hospitalizations will continue to fall?
It also doesn't mean you won't be hospitalised.
The thing that WILL happen is the virus will spread, enough people getting it (remember exponential growth), unvaccinated folks (remember, children! who might be more susceptible to delta) will end up in the hospital. There's more than enough unvaccinated folks for uncontrolled spread to be disastrous.
The other thing that COULD happen is that the virus could acquire a mutation to avoid the vaccine defence, and we'll start this whole thing over again.
Uncontrolled spread is a bad idea....a very bad idea.
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(08-02-2021, 08:04 AM)danbrotherston Wrote: The other thing that COULD happen is that the virus could acquire a mutation to avoid the vaccine defence, and we'll start this whole thing over again.
Uncontrolled spread is a bad idea....a very bad idea.
And if that happens, we will find out whether we as a civilization are worthy of continued existence: if we put in place widespread vaccination mandates (when the new vaccines are ready), we might be; if we’re too worried about hurting wittle anti-vaxxers precious snowflake feelings, we definitely aren’t.
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Current 7-day Covid-19 cases per 100k
• Grey Bruce Health Unit 27.1
• Region of Waterloo Public Health and Emergency Services 22.1
• City of Hamilton Public Health Services 19.4
• Haliburton, Kawartha, Pine Ridge District Health Unit 17.5
• Southwestern Public Health 12.8
• Middlesex-London Health Unit 11.4
• Haldimand-Norfolk Health Unit 11.4
• York Region Public Health 11.2
• Durham Region Health Department 11.1
• Halton Region Public Health 11.0
---snip---
• Timiskaming Health Unit 0.0
• TOTAL ONTARIO 9.5
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MONDAY 2021-08-02
Waterloo Region reported 16 new cases for today (10.4% of the active cases) and zero more for yesterday for 11; 122 new cases for the week (-1 from yesterday and +26 from last week), averaging 12.8% of active cases. 156 active cases, +34 in the last seven days.
An average of 736 tests/day for the past week for a positivity rate of 2.37%.
Ontario reported 168 new cases today with a seven-day average of 196 (+7), compared to 157 a week ago. 129 recoveries and one death translated to an increase of 38 active cases and a new total of 1,705. +276 active cases for the week and 32 deaths (five per day). 11,658 tests with a positivity rate of 1.44%. The positivity rate is averaging 1.18% for the past seven days, compared to 0.95% for the preceding seven. 78 patients in ICU (-1 today, -17 for the week) with COVID-19.
41,121 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average at 77,501 (previous week was 116,121). 71.28% of total provincial population vaccinated (+0.05% from yesterday, +0.68% from 7 days ago), 61.61% fully vaccinated (+0.23% from yesterday, +3.01% from 7 days ago).
New case variants reported today (these are substantially delayed so they do not match the new case numbers): - Alpha (B.1.1.7): 2
- Beta (B.1.351): 0
- Delta (B.1.617): 14 (65% of variants over the past 10 days)
- Gamma (P.1): 0
- 3 cases in Windsor-Essex: 3.3 per 100K
- 1 cases in Brant: 2.9 per 100K
- 28 cases in Waterloo: 2.3 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
- 33 cases in York: 2.1 per 100K
- 6 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 1.8 per 100K
- 26 cases in Peel: 1.6 per 100K
- 53 cases in Toronto: 1.5 per 100K
- 4 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 1.5 per 100K
- cases in Northwestern: 1.1 per 100K
- 12 cases in Halton: 1.1 per 100K
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MONDAY 2021-08-02
Waterloo Region reported 16 new cases for today (10.4% of the active cases) and zero more for yesterday for 11; 122 new cases for the week (-1 from yesterday and +26 from last week), averaging 12.8% of active cases. 156 active cases, +34 in the last seven days.
An average of 736 tests/day for the past week for a positivity rate of 2.37%.
Ontario reported 168 new cases today with a seven-day average of 196 (+7), compared to 157 a week ago. 129 recoveries and one death translated to an increase of 38 active cases and a new total of 1,705. +276 active cases for the week and 32 deaths (five per day). 11,658 tests with a positivity rate of 1.44%. The positivity rate is averaging 1.18% for the past seven days, compared to 0.95% for the preceding seven. 78 patients in ICU (-1 today, -17 for the week) with COVID-19.
41,121 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average at 77,501 (previous week was 116,121). 71.28% of total provincial population vaccinated (+0.05% from yesterday, +0.68% from 7 days ago), 61.61% fully vaccinated (+0.23% from yesterday, +3.01% from 7 days ago).
New case variants reported today (these are substantially delayed so they do not match the new case numbers): - Alpha (B.1.1.7): 2
- Beta (B.1.351): 0
- Delta (B.1.617): 14 (65% of variants over the past 10 days)
- Gamma (P.1): 0
- 3 cases in Windsor-Essex: 3.3 per 100K
- 1 cases in Brant: 2.9 per 100K
- 28 cases in Waterloo: 2.3 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
- 33 cases in York: 2.1 per 100K
- 6 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 1.8 per 100K
- 26 cases in Peel: 1.6 per 100K
- 53 cases in Toronto: 1.5 per 100K
- 4 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 1.5 per 100K
- cases in Northwestern: 1.1 per 100K
- 12 cases in Halton: 1.1 per 100K
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TUESDAY 2021-08-03
Waterloo Region reported eight new cases for today (5.0% of the active cases) and zero more for yesterday for 16; 122 new cases for the week (+0 from yesterday and +26 from last week), averaging 12.7% of active cases. 156 active cases, +34 in the last seven days.
16,554 doses of vaccine administered over the last four days, with a seven-day average at 3,721 (previous week was 5,076). 68.27% of total provincial population vaccinated (+0.26% from Friday, +1.33% from 7 days ago), 58.41% fully vaccinated (+0.34% from yesterday, +3.16% from 7 days ago).
Ontario reported 164 new cases today with a seven-day average of 201 (+5), compared to 157 a week ago. 151 recoveries and one death translated to an increase of 12 active cases and a new total of 1,717. +322 active cases for the week and 28 deaths (four per day). 11,515 tests with a positivity rate of 1.42%. The positivity rate is averaging 1.25% for the past seven days, compared to 0.95% for the preceding seven. 77 patients in ICU (-1 today, -14 for the week) with COVID-19.
31,015 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average at 68,784 (previous week was 110,274). 71.31% of total provincial population vaccinated (+0.03% from yesterday, +0.60% from 7 days ago), 61.79% fully vaccinated (+0.28% from yesterday, +2.67% from 7 days ago).
New case variants reported today (these are substantially delayed so they do not match the new case numbers): - Alpha (B.1.1.7): 3
- Beta (B.1.351): 0
- Delta (B.1.617): 76 (65% of variants over the past 10 days)
- Gamma (P.1): 0
- 3 cases in Windsor-Essex: 3.3 per 100K
- 1 cases in Brant: 2.9 per 100K
- 28 cases in Waterloo: 2.3 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
- 33 cases in York: 2.1 per 100K
- 6 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 1.8 per 100K
- 26 cases in Peel: 1.6 per 100K
- 53 cases in Toronto: 1.5 per 100K
- 4 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 1.5 per 100K
- cases in Northwestern: 1.1 per 100K
- 12 cases in Halton: 1.1 per 100K
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WEDNESDAY 2021-08-04
Waterloo Region reported 19 new cases for today (12.2% of the active cases) and zero more for yesterday for 8; 125 new cases for the week (+3 from yesterday and +25 from last week), averaging 12.7% of active cases. 163 active cases, +40 in the last seven days.
2,508 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average at 3,427 (previous week was 4,819). 68.35% of total provincial population vaccinated (+0.08% from Friday), 58.74% fully vaccinated (+0.33% from yesterday, +3.32% from 7 days ago).
Ontario reported 139 new cases today with a seven-day average of 199 (-2), compared to 161 a week ago. 155 recoveries and one death translated to a decrease of 27 active cases and a new total of 1,690. +312 active cases for the week and 28 deaths (four per day). 17,115 tests with a positivity rate of 0.81%. The positivity rate is averaging 1.25% for the past seven days, compared to 0.96% for the preceding seven. 78 patients in ICU (+1 today, -7 for the week) with COVID-19.
60,094 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average at 63,924 (previous week was 103,649). 71.39% of total provincial population vaccinated (+0.08% from yesterday, +0.57% from 7 days ago), 62.12% fully vaccinated (+0.33% from yesterday, +2.47% from 7 days ago).
- 9 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 4.5 per 100K
- 4 cases in Huron Perth: 4.1 per 100K
- 19 cases in Waterloo: 3.1 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
- 10 cases in Windsor-Essex: 2.6 per 100K
- 4 cases in Grey Bruce: 2.5 per 100K
- 12 cases in Hamilton: 2.1 per 100K
- 11 cases in Durham: 1.7 per 100K
- 15 cases in York: 1.4 per 100K
- 18 cases in Peel: 1.3 per 100K
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Current 7-day Covid-19 cases per 100k
• Grey Bruce Health Unit 28.8
• Region of Waterloo Public Health and Emergency Services 22.6
• City of Hamilton Public Health Services 18.9
• Haliburton, Kawartha, Pine Ridge District Health Unit 15.9
• Southwestern Public Health 15.6
• Haldimand-Norfolk Health Unit 11.4
• Peel Public Health 11.2
• York Region Public Health 10.9
• Middlesex-London Health Unit 10.8
• Durham Region Health Department 10.8
--snip--
• Timiskaming Health Unit 0.0
• TOTAL ONTARIO 9.4
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Current 7-day Covid-19 cases per 100k
• Grey Bruce Health Unit 23.5
• Region of Waterloo Public Health and Emergency Services 21.7
• City of Hamilton Public Health Services 17.7
• Southwestern Public Health 13.7
• Haldimand-Norfolk Health Unit 13.1
• Windsor-Essex County Health Unit 12.9
• Haliburton, Kawartha, Pine Ridge District Health Unit 11.6
• York Region Public Health 11.5
• Peel Public Health 10.8
• Middlesex-London Health Unit 10.8
--snip--
• Timiskaming Health Unit 0.0
• TOTAL ONTARIO 9.3
No PHU in the "Orange" or above. That's a good sign. Ontario seems to be levelling out, which is also good. Todays raw data (which Tom will post later) will show a slight decrease from last Thursdays numbers.
Regardless, we still need to get more vaccinations in arms, as there still seems to be concentrations of missed groups.
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