10-14-2015, 12:49 PM
(10-14-2015, 07:37 AM)Viewfromthe42 Wrote: The bar may not be zero accidents, but it will have to be an enormous reduction (i.e. 50-99% reduction, regardless of uptake).
The (misguided) sense of control is far more valuable than actual safety. Just ask parents who move out of cities and into less dense places: they often cite safety, even as less dense neighbourhoods and rural areas are noticeably *less* safe for their children, even
as the mistaken perception is the reverse.
The 50% bar has already been met by present technology. As for the second, I agree, and the way this will happen (and indeed is already happening) is that people will cede control gradually. Radar warning, auto parking, rear alarm, automatic transmission, automatic on-and-off lights, anti-lock breaks, governed SUVs that slow down when taking tight turns, you name it. One by one the computer takes control over an aspect of the drive (including route planning using GPS) and one day before you know it, you simply say: drive.