03-26-2020, 04:40 PM
(03-26-2020, 04:27 PM)plam Wrote:(03-26-2020, 01:09 PM)tomh009 Wrote: Quebec's spring break was over on the 8th, well more than two weeks ago, so the vast bulk of people should have returned a long time ago, and the infections should have been apparent already last week or before.
Our break was later, but I have to believe that by that time it started, most people had already canceled due to COVID-19.
Looking at the calendar, if people were back on March 8, they could have been incubating for a week (March 15) and then got tested towards the end of week 2 (March 22) so that we would see the results about now. The Quebec premier certainly advanced the early March Break hypothesis.
Median incubation period is estimated to be five days, so even if everyone got infected on the very last day of the vacation, half of them should have become symptomatic by March 13. And it's hard to imagine that they would have waited two weeks for a test.
https://annals.org/aim/fullarticle/27628...y-reported
Quebec is now doing only the quick test at the hospitals, not the central one, so there should not be much delay in the results.