04-23-2020, 02:11 PM
(This post was last modified: 04-23-2020, 02:13 PM by danbrotherston.)
(04-23-2020, 11:37 AM)taylortbb Wrote:(04-23-2020, 10:52 AM)danbrotherston Wrote: This and SO much this.
I'm so tired of the "we're not testing everyone" or "I know some uncle who they wouldn't test when he had a headache" concluding with "thus the numbers we have are completely false/useless/a lie/whatever".
The numbers are not complete, it does not mean they are not useful, and it does not mean they do not show trends.
The level of stats/science/math literacy is so low, worse, the level of reading comprehension is also shockingly low.
I don't think we need to be testing everyone. However, if we aren't even testing people that we identify through contact tracing, and who DO meet our test criteria, how are we in a position to re-open anything? Pretty much everyone agrees contact tracing is going to be a key part of re-opening things, to keep cases reasonable. But right now my experience has told me contact tracing stops at the regional border. My close contact works in Hamilton so her case is managed by Hamilton public health, their ability to contact trace is limited to Hamilton residents only. Because I'm in Waterloo Region I'm totally excluded for any testing/follow up/etc. That's not going to cut it for reopening anything.
We aren't in a position to re-open anything. It wouldn't matter if we were swabbing the entire population three times a day right now. Contact tracing is the key, but we can't even contact trace everyone who has it, testing isn't the limitation there.
Nobody--besides nutjob americans (yes, the POTUS and Governors) are saying things should be reopened now.
Basically being worried that we won't be able to reopen things whenever it becomes possible...certainly not now...because we aren't doing enough testing right now...doesn't make any more sense than a month ago arguing that we shouldn't be worried because there weren't that many cases then. The world is dynamic, these things will change.