The COVID-19 pandemic

[plam]

Another positive report today, with 459 new cases in Ontario for a 2.9% increase. 593 recovered and 86 dead for a net reduction of 220 active cases. There are now 4,900 active cases given 10,205 recoveries and 1,082 deaths. 2614 confirmed positives to date among LTC facility residents. 

In some ways (literally but also in other ways) NZ is from the future. (It's also sometimes stuck in the past; Waterloo has gotten much better than Wellington in terms of bicycle infrastructure in the last 5 years for example). In this context, what we've seen in NZ is at first a quick decline in active cases but then the decline plateaus. I guess we're stuck with the longer-lasting cases. You can see the NZ graph here:

https://thespinoff.co.nz/society/30-04-2...-april-30/

The increases have been single-digit absolute numbers for the past 10 days or so; sometimes the number is negative because they reclassified probable cases from the previous day as not a case. Net decreases dropped from numbers in the 50s to numbers in the 20s; yesterday the number recovered was 12. Still really good but it'll take a while for the number to get to 0. And that's assuming that opening NZ a bit continues to go well. Which I hope it does.

Government data source: https://www.health.govt.nz/our-work/dise...rent-cases