09-30-2020, 02:47 PM
The Economist pulled together a whole lot of data and did some good analysis. I believe this article is free to read with just a registration:
https://www.economist.com/briefing/2020/...gures-show
One conclusion? The new case numbers may now be hitting or even exceeding those in the first wave. But there is a strong likelihood that actual case numbers in the first wave were far higher, but the testing was much more limited than it is now. (They estimate that at the peak, in April/May, there may have been as many as 5M new cases per day.)
Worthwhile reading, to be sure.
https://www.economist.com/briefing/2020/...gures-show
One conclusion? The new case numbers may now be hitting or even exceeding those in the first wave. But there is a strong likelihood that actual case numbers in the first wave were far higher, but the testing was much more limited than it is now. (They estimate that at the peak, in April/May, there may have been as many as 5M new cases per day.)
Worthwhile reading, to be sure.