Micromobility (bikeshare, scootershare)

[danbrotherston]

Are we certain this is true this year? Many new people are buying bicycles. And many people who are experienced riding bikes may ride scooters.

And what is experience? How long to be "experienced"? I'd argue most people have plenty of experience to understand the mechanics of how riding on the road works (the rules are pretty well known), and the real need for experience is in comfort and confidence, and that varies by rider at least as much as it does by experience.

I have no data. And I don't know where to find any.

But ...

• Commuters will be typically relatively experienced
  
• e-scooters are rather expensive to use for regular commuting
  
• The e-scooter business model encourages ad-hoc trips (maybe little experience)
  
• Many bicyclists have many years of experience, having started as children
  

But, yes, it's only a hypothesis, I have no hard evidence.

Please note I am not defending any particular proposal, but I do tend to agree with their assumption for this particular aspect.

e-scooters != shared e-scooter companies.

I have no idea of the current breakdown in miles from rentals vs. owned, or what a future breakdown would look like, but it's entirely possible to buy your own scooter.

I am not necessarily disagreeing with your position, or the argument, but I find their arguments entirely uncompelling as justification.