04-13-2021, 07:12 PM
(04-13-2021, 04:45 PM)tomh009 Wrote:(04-13-2021, 03:51 PM)danbrotherston Wrote: That is an optimistic assessment and schedule (aside from the high hesitancy rate).
I do hope you are right.
Which part do you think is particularly optimistic? We're doing 100K/day at the moment, do you expect that to drop? That assumes 9.1M shots available in 2Q.
The feds have committed to 35M doses for Canada in 2Q; that should mean 14M for Canada. And in 1Q they delivered significantly more doses than they had previously committed to. If they actually deliver fewer than 9.1M to Ontario, they are likely missing the national plan by 13M or so doses, and to me (again, personal risk assessment) that seems pretty unlikely.
The general idea that we will be in an excess supply situation by late May early June. It means I could get vaccinated then...