04-25-2021, 08:09 PM
(04-25-2021, 04:13 PM)danbrotherston Wrote: One exception I'd make...
The "active cases" are the identified cases...I'd *HOPE* those ones are least likely to infect others...they *SHOULD* be taking all possible precautions to isolate. Certainly in light of the lack of sick days, and to a lesser extent to some people's sociopathic behaviour, I'm sure some of them will be infecting others, but I would HOPE that those who would infect others are mostly the as of yet unknown cases, which hypothetically hopefully track with the active cases.
It's quite correct. There are also unidentified, typically asymptomatic, cases. But this has been the case since last spring, so using the identified active cases as a proxy should give us directionally correct data, just not the right magnitude. And this is the only data we have ...