06-18-2021, 01:21 PM
(06-18-2021, 12:56 PM)jeffster Wrote: I'm not sure the majority of cases are Delta -- they are a factor though. That said, what makes US unique? Let's say, over Peel? Or Toronto? Why do we have so many homeless that are sick? Why didn't border controls effect every other region in Canada, and, really, North America as bad as us? And it's true, we did get a vaccines a little late, like other communities, but we have had them the past few weeks. It's still not explained.
And to be clear, I am not blaming this on front end staff -- they don't have control, and they only follow orders. That's why I keep going on about the leadership, I don't think it's been great, and there is little evidence to suggest that we have leadership that is high ranking among other regions and cities.
The regional dashboard makes it pretty clear the majority of cases are delta. https://www.regionofwaterloo.ca/en/healt...egion.aspx shows the number of cases that are "mutation/variant detected" and it has dropped sharply. There's only a small number of possible causes of that data:
- original Covid started magically out competing the variants
- it's delta (which currently returns negative on the mutation/variant test they're using)
- there's a novel variant here which both out competes the other variants, and screens negative on the mutation/variant test they're using
As for the border controls, the real question is why did they fail to prevent the Baffinland mine outbreak. That was the first big delta outbreak in Canada. How it spread from there to KW is just chance. Workers from that mine travelled to almost every PHU in Ontario, we were just unlucky enough that the one of the ones that came here had some interaction with a shelter resident. We were then doubly unlucky that we didn't get as many vaccines, due to having a smaller third wave.
While there's definitely larger trends, those trends are made up of tons of tiny random variations.