12-22-2021, 09:14 PM
(12-22-2021, 01:10 PM)jamincan Wrote:(12-22-2021, 12:23 PM)danbrotherston Wrote: This is not true. Data remains preliminary on all fronts, but evidence from the UK found no evidence that Omicron is less virulent than other variants.
Most people seem to interpret the Imperial College study as showing evidence that Omicron is no less severe than Delta, but when I look at the research paper, it doesn't seem to say that at all. Instead, the data for hospitalization is too limited to draw conclusions from. When they say that they found no evidence that Omicron is less virulent, that doesn't mean that they found evidence that it is equally or more virulent, simply that they couldn't confirm the hypothesis that it was less virulent.
Perhaps someone better versed in statistics can interpret their results better, though? https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperia...ort-49.pdf
In any case, this data is now one week old. I would expect they could draw far more meaningful conclusions now.
That's correct. And they say the hospitalization data is very limited (it's roughly 100 cases for Omicron) for statistically significant analysis. I expect that they will update their paper as more data becomes available.