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The COVID-19 pandemic
TUESDAY 2021-01-19

Waterloo Region reported 92 new cases today (10.0% of the active cases) plus six more for yesterday; 841 new cases for the week (-44), averaging 11.6% of active cases! 868 active cases, -203 in the last seven days.

Ontario reported 1,913 new cases today -- but with some data missing from Toronto, so I expect a revised number between 2,000 and 2,500 -- with a seven-day average of 2,893 (-142). 2,873 recoveries and 46 deaths translated to a drop of 1,006 active cases and a new total of 27,615. -2,526 active cases for the week and 426 deaths (61 per day). 34,531 tests for a positivity rate of 5.54%, the lowest Sunday rate since Christmas. The positivity rate is averaging 5.17% for the past seven days compared to 6.08% for the preceding seven.

400 patients in ICU (+6) and a total hospital population of 1626 (-75 for the week). These two figures do lag the new cases data, so any significant improvement is probably still at least a week away, even if the new case data continues on its current trajectory.
  • 37 cases in Huron Perth: 37.8 per 100K
  • 346 cases in Peel: 25.0 per 100K
  • 28 cases in Lambton: 21.4 per 100K
  • 235 cases in York: 21.2 per 100K
  • 81 cases in Windsor-Essex: 20.8 per 100K
  • 550 cases in Toronto: 18.8 per 100K
  • 73 cases in Middlesex-London: 18.0 per 100K
  • 71 cases in Halton: 12.9 per 100K
  • 79 cases in Waterloo: 12.8 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
  • 82 cases in Durham: 12.7 per 100K
  • 13 cases in Chatham-Kent: 12.3 per 100K
  • 52 cases in Niagara: 11.6 per 100K
  • 31 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 11.4 per 100K
  • 22 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 11.0 per 100K
  • 63 cases in Hamilton: 10.9 per 100K
  • 48 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 8.9 per 100K
  • 14 cases in Eastern Ontario: 6.9 per 100K
  • 41 cases in Ottawa: 4.1 per 100K
  • 5 cases in Brant: 3.7 per 100K
  • 5 cases in Thunder Bay: 3.3 per 100K
Reply


So the "Stay At Home" order takes us until Feb 10, but the last I'm aware of, the schools are supposed to return to in-person learning on Jan 25th? Has that changed?

Coke
Reply
(01-20-2021, 08:22 AM)Coke6pk Wrote: So the "Stay At Home" order takes us until Feb 10, but the last I'm aware of, the schools are supposed to return to in-person learning on Jan 25th?  Has that changed?

Coke

Anouncement about an anouncement about that expected any time right?
Reply
Williams is supposed to make an announcement today: https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/students-pare...-1.5274230
Reply
WEDNESDAY 2021-01-20

Waterloo Region reported 73 new cases today (8.4% of the active cases) plus two more for yesterday (now totaling 94); 791 new cases for the week (-51), averaging 11.1% of active cases. 853 active cases, -204 in the last seven days.

Ontario reported 2,655 new cases today with a seven-day average of 2,850 (-13). 3,714 recoveries and 89 deaths translated to a drop of 1,148 active cases and a new total of 26,467. -3,169 active cases for the week and 441 deaths (63 per day). 54,307 tests for a positivity rate of 4.89%. The positivity rate is averaging 5.03% for the past seven days compared to 5.94% for the preceding seven.

395 patients in ICU (-5) and a total hospital population of 1,598 (-76 for the week).
  • 179 cases in Windsor-Essex: 46.0 per 100K
  • 473 cases in Peel: 34.2 per 100K
  • 925 cases in Toronto: 31.6 per 100K
  • 129 cases in Niagara: 28.8 per 100K
  • 56 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 20.6 per 100K
  • 226 cases in York: 20.4 per 100K
  • 101 cases in Waterloo: 16.3 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
  • 65 cases in Middlesex-London: 16.1 per 100K
  • 71 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 13.1 per 100K
  • 75 cases in Hamilton: 12.9 per 100K
  • 13 cases in Chatham-Kent: 12.3 per 100K
  • 17 cases in Thunder Bay: 11.3 per 100K
  • 11 cases in Huron Perth: 11.2 per 100K
  • 70 cases in Durham: 10.8 per 100K
  • 20 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 10.0 per 100K
  • 51 cases in Halton: 9.3 per 100K
  • 12 cases in Lambton: 9.2 per 100K
  • 86 cases in Ottawa: 8.6 per 100K
  • 16 cases in Eastern Ontario: 7.9 per 100K
Reply
10-day averages for key regions in Ontario, plus the weekly trend as of 2021-01-21 (posting this every two days).

RegionCases todayper 100K10-day averageper 100KWeekly trend
Windsor-Essex
92
23.7
164
42.1
-44%
Peel
412
29.8
523
37.9
-23%
Niagara
90
20.1
145
32.4
-47%
Lambton
45
34.4
42
32.1
-40%
Toronto
795
27.1
847
28.9
-2%
York
245
22.1
246
22.2
-15%
Huron Perth
18
18.4
21
21.2
+2%
Middlesex-London
76
18.8
85
20.9
-13%
Waterloo
118
19.1
123
19.9
-33%
Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph
49
18.0
47
17.4
+26%
Hamilton
69
11.9
97
16.8
-40%
Southwestern Ontario
19
9.5
31
15.3
-48%
Durham
92
14.2
98
15.2
-17%
Eastern Ontario
32
15.8
30
14.7
+6%
Chatham-Kent
6
5.7
15
14.5
-42%
Halton
52
9.5
67
12.3
-17%
Ottawa
162
16.3
118
11.8
-10%
Simcoe-Muskoka
70
13.0
64
11.8
+3%
Brant
13
9.6
14
10.5
-56%
Thunder Bay
5
3.3
10
6.3
-1%
Reply
THURSDAY 2021-01-21

Waterloo Region reported 119 new cases today (13.9% of the active cases) plus two more for yesterday (now totaling 77); 749 new cases for the week (-42), averaging 10.9% of active cases. 859 active cases, -235 in the last seven days.

Next testing report on Friday.

Ontario reported 2,528 new cases today with a seven-day average of 2,750 (-100). 2,990 recoveries and 46 deaths translated to a drop of 508 active cases and a new total of 26,061. -3,246 active cases for the week and 425 deaths (61 per day). 70,256 tests for a positivity rate of only 3.60%. The positivity rate is averaging 4.92% -- backbelow 5%! -- for the past seven days compared to 5.79% for the preceding seven.

388 patients in ICU (-7) and a total hospital population of 1,533 (-124 for the week).
  • 45 cases in Lambton: 34.4 per 100K
  • 412 cases in Peel: 29.8 per 100K
  • 795 cases in Toronto: 27.1 per 100K
  • 92 cases in Windsor-Essex: 23.7 per 100K
  • 245 cases in York: 22.1 per 100K
  • 90 cases in Niagara: 20.1 per 100K
  • 118 cases in Waterloo: 19.1 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
  • 76 cases in Middlesex-London: 18.8 per 100K
  • 18 cases in Huron Perth: 18.4 per 100K
  • 49 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 18.0 per 100K
  • 162 cases in Ottawa: 16.3 per 100K
  • 32 cases in Eastern Ontario: 15.8 per 100K
  • 92 cases in Durham: 14.2 per 100K
  • 70 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 13.0 per 100K
  • 69 cases in Hamilton: 11.9 per 100K
  • 13 cases in Brant: 9.6 per 100K
  • 19 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 9.5 per 100K
  • 52 cases in Halton: 9.5 per 100K
  • 6 cases in Chatham-Kent: 5.7 per 100K
  • 5 cases in Thunder Bay: 3.3 per 100K
Reply


The active cases have now been dropping for 10 days, the positivity rate is back below 5%, and the new cases have fallen from 3,500+ per day to the 2,500 range. I'm cautiously optimistic that we may have turned the corner here. If we can continue this trend ...

   
Reply
(01-21-2021, 05:43 PM)tomh009 Wrote: The active cases have now been dropping for 10 days, the positivity rate is back below 5%, and the new cases have fallen from 3,500+ per day to the 2,500 range. I'm cautiously optimistic that we may have turned the corner here. If we can continue this trend ...

Just have to not relax too early.
Reply
(01-21-2021, 07:36 PM)plam Wrote:
(01-21-2021, 05:43 PM)tomh009 Wrote: The active cases have now been dropping for 10 days, the positivity rate is back below 5%, and the new cases have fallen from 3,500+ per day to the 2,500 range. I'm cautiously optimistic that we may have turned the corner here. If we can continue this trend ...

Just have to not relax too early.

Exactly!
Reply
FRIDAY 2021-01-22

Waterloo Region reported 118 new cases today (13.7% of the active cases) (and no more for yesterday, still totaling 119); 724 new cases for the week (-25), averaging 11.0% of active cases. 868 active cases, -188 in the last seven days.

An average of 1,968 tests per day for the past week for an average positivity rate of 5.75%, down from the previous week's 8.58%.

Ontario reported 2,664 new cases today with a seven-day average of 2,703 (-47). 3,375 recoveries and 87 deaths translated to a drop of 798 active cases and a new total of 25,263. -3,562 active cases for the week and 412 deaths (59 per day). 71,750 tests for a positivity rate of only 3.71%. The positivity rate is averaging 4.89% for the past seven days, compared to 5.59% for the preceding seven.

383 patients in ICU (-5) and a total hospital population of 1,512 (-135 for the week). The ICU numbers are not climbing at the moment, today's count is only one more than that of two weeks ago. The total patient count is up about 3% during that same timeframe.
  • 542 cases in Peel: 39.2 per 100K
  • 58 cases in Thunder Bay: 38.7 per 100K
  • 118 cases in Windsor-Essex: 30.4 per 100K
  • 77 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 28.3 per 100K
  • 779 cases in Toronto: 26.6 per 100K
  • 26 cases in Huron Perth: 26.5 per 100K
  • 95 cases in Niagara: 21.2 per 100K
  • 128 cases in Waterloo: 20.7 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
  • 228 cases in York: 20.5 per 100K
  • 102 cases in Halton: 18.6 per 100K
  • 37 cases in Eastern Ontario: 18.2 per 100K
  • 65 cases in Middlesex-London: 16.1 per 100K
  • 78 cases in Hamilton: 13.5 per 100K
  • 71 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 13.1 per 100K
  • 80 cases in Durham: 12.4 per 100K
  • 11 cases in Chatham-Kent: 10.4 per 100K
  • 19 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 9.5 per 100K
  • 75 cases in Ottawa: 7.5 per 100K
  • 6 cases in Lambton: 4.6 per 100K
  • 6 cases in Brant: 4.4 per 100K
  • 7 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 3.4 per 100K

Thunder Bay shot up from the bottom to the top of the list due to an outbreak in their prison system ...
Reply
Airbnb house party busted outside the city though they only charged one person: https://www.kitchenertoday.com/local-new...es-3285203

Also, Trinity Bible Chapel is planning to hold in person services this weekend despite constantly getting fined. The region needs to do something about these people: https://www.kitchenertoday.com/local-new...es-3285203
Reply
(01-22-2021, 07:04 PM)ac3r Wrote: Also, Trinity Bible Chapel is planning to hold in person services this weekend despite constantly getting fined. The region needs to do something about these people: https://www.kitchenertoday.com/local-new...es-3285203

They can issue a summons, in which case they are not limited to the set fines. That's really intended for flagrant and repeat offenders, which these people clearly are.
Reply


(01-22-2021, 07:04 PM)ac3r Wrote: Airbnb house party busted outside the city though they only charged one person: https://www.kitchenertoday.com/local-new...es-3285203

Also, Trinity Bible Chapel is planning to hold in person services this weekend despite constantly getting fined. The region needs to do something about these people: https://www.kitchenertoday.com/local-new...es-3285203

Set up a checkpoint at the driveway entrance. Nobody gets in without being ticketed.
Reply
They're already facing up to 11 million dollars in charges thus far, so I don't think too many things are going to scare them apart from actual arrests or something (if the police can even do that in this case).
Reply
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