The COVID-19 pandemic

[tomh009]

10-day averages for key regions in Ontario, plus the weekly trend as of 2021-05-07 (posting this every two days).

Region	Cases today	per 100K	10-day average	per 100K	Weekly trend
Peel	817	59.1	763	55.2	-0%
Toronto	876	29.9	1,039	35.4	-19%
Durham	205	31.7	208	32.2	-21%
York	300	27.0	301	27.1	-9%
Hamilton	148	25.6	171	29.4	-21%
Niagara	65	14.5	133	29.6	-63%
Halton	139	25.3	127	23.1	+4%
Middlesex-London	83	20.5	92	22.7	-23%
Brant	41	30.1	28	20.4	+18%
Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph	65	23.9	43	15.6	+5%
Ottawa	106	10.7	146	14.6	-36%
Simcoe-Muskoka	64	11.8	79	14.7	-11%
Windsor-Essex	35	9.0	43	11.0	-11%
Northwestern	7	8.0	10	11.0	-25%
Waterloo	48	7.8	62	10.0	-14%
Eastern Ontario	15	7.4	18	9.0	-22%
Lambton	16	12.2	11	8.5	+13%
Southwestern Ontario	12	6.0	15	7.3	-15%
Kingston Frontenac	18	8.8	14	7.0	+99%
Huron Perth	9	9.2	6	6.2	+46%
Leeds, Grenville & Lanark	1	.6	8	4.6	-41%
Chatham-Kent	3	2.8	4	3.8	-2%
Thunder Bay	1	.7	5	3.6	-28%
Sudbury	11	2.8	9	2.2	+23%
Ontario total					-15%

[tomh009]

FRIDAY 2021-05-07

Waterloo Region reported 45 new cases for today (8.5% of the active cases) and one more for yesterday for 62; 401 new cases for the week (-20), averaging 9.8% of active cases. 515 active cases, -110 in the last seven days.

An average of only 1,002 tests per day for the past seven days for a positivity rate of 5.69%.

4,414 doses of vaccine administered with a seven-day average of 3,074. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the regional population on 2021-07-14 (+2 days). This date is now trailing the provincial one by 30 days (+4).

Ontario reported 3,166 new cases today with a seven-day average of 3,266 (-103). 3,875 recoveries and 23 deaths translated to a decrease of 732 active cases and a new total of 33,645. -4,417 active cases for the week and 186 deaths (27 per day). 51,338 tests for a positivity rate of 6.17%. The positivity rate is averaging 7.57% for the past seven days, compared to 8.19% for the preceding seven.

858 patients in ICU (-19 today, -25 for the week) and a total hospital population of 1,924 (-277 for the week).

Another new record of 144,724 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 106,500. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-06-14 (-2 days).

• 817 cases in Peel: 59.1 per 100K
  
• 205 cases in Durham: 31.7 per 100K
  
• 41 cases in Brant: 30.1 per 100K
  
• 876 cases in Toronto: 29.9 per 100K
  
• 300 cases in York: 27.0 per 100K
  
• 148 cases in Hamilton: 25.6 per 100K
  
• 139 cases in Halton: 25.3 per 100K
  
• 65 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 23.9 per 100K
  
• 83 cases in Middlesex-London: 20.5 per 100K
  
• 65 cases in Niagara: 14.5 per 100K
  
• 16 cases in Lambton: 12.2 per 100K
  
• 64 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 11.8 per 100K
  
• 106 cases in Ottawa: 10.7 per 100K
  
• 9 cases in Huron Perth: 9.2 per 100K
  
• 35 cases in Windsor-Essex: 9.0 per 100K
  
• 18 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 8.8 per 100K
  
• 7 cases in Northwestern: 8.0 per 100K
  
• 48 cases in Waterloo: 7.8 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
  
• 15 cases in Eastern Ontario: 7.4 per 100K
  
• 12 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 6.0 per 100K
  
• 3 cases in Chatham-Kent: 2.8 per 100K
  
• 11 cases in Sudbury: 2.8 per 100K
  

[tomh009]

SATURDAY 2021-05-08

Waterloo Region reported 48 new cases for today (8.6% of the active cases) and zero more for yesterday for 62; 405 new cases for the week (+4), averaging 10.2% of active cases. 547 active cases, -106 in the last seven days. (Roughly 50 additional cases were also added, mostly for 2020.)

Next testing report on Tuesday.

Next vaccination report on Monday.

Ontario reported 2,864 new cases today with a seven-day average of 3,193 (-73). 3,596 recoveries and 25 deaths translated to a decrease of 757 active cases and a new total of 32,888. -4,550 active cases for the week and 182 deaths (26 per day). 47,817 tests for a positivity rate of 5.99%. The positivity rate is averaging 7.40% for the past seven days, compared to 8.10% for the preceding seven.

851 patients in ICU (-7 today, -49 for the week) and a total hospital population of 1,832 (-320 for the week).

138,125 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 110,847. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-06-12 (-2 days).

• 803 cases in Peel: 58.1 per 100K
  
• 110 cases in Middlesex-London: 27.2 per 100K
  
• 285 cases in York: 25.7 per 100K
  
• 105 cases in Niagara: 23.4 per 100K
  
• 684 cases in Toronto: 23.3 per 100K
  
• 133 cases in Hamilton: 23.0 per 100K
  
• 18 cases in Northwestern: 20.5 per 100K
  
• 125 cases in Durham: 19.4 per 100K
  
• 98 cases in Halton: 17.9 per 100K
  
• 31 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 15.5 per 100K
  
• 34 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 12.5 per 100K
  
• 72 cases in Waterloo: 11.7 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
  
• 23 cases in Eastern Ontario: 11.3 per 100K
  
• 60 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 11.1 per 100K
  
• 107 cases in Ottawa: 10.8 per 100K
  
• 39 cases in Windsor-Essex: 10.0 per 100K
  
• 9 cases in Huron Perth: 9.2 per 100K
  
• 10 cases in Leeds, Grenville & Lanark: 5.9 per 100K
  
• 11 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 5.4 per 100K
  
• 5 cases in Chatham-Kent: 4.7 per 100K
  
• 7 cases in Thunder Bay: 4.7 per 100K
  
• 6 cases in Lambton: 4.6 per 100K
  
• 5 cases in Brant: 3.7 per 100K
  

[tomh009]

SUNDAY 2021-05-09

Waterloo Region reported 70 new cases for today (13.1% of the active cases) and zero more for yesterday for 48; 409 new cases for the week (+4), averaging 10.2% of active cases. 507 active cases, -134 in the last seven days.

Next testing report on Tuesday.

Next vaccination report on Monday.

Ontario reported 3,216 new cases today with a seven-day average of 3,120 (-73). 3,653 recoveries and 47 deaths translated to a decrease of 484 active cases and a new total of 32,404. -4,796 active cases for the week and 206 deaths (29 per day). 38,540 tests for a positivity rate of 8.34%. The positivity rate is averaging 7.41% for the past seven days, compared to 8.07% for the preceding seven.

848 patients in ICU (-3 today, -47 for the week).

121,075 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 117,188. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-06-10 (-2 days).

• 752 cases in Peel: 54.4 per 100K
  
• 903 cases in Toronto: 30.8 per 100K
  
• 335 cases in York: 30.2 per 100K
  
• 187 cases in Durham: 29.0 per 100K
  
• 101 cases in Middlesex-London: 25.0 per 100K
  
• 104 cases in Niagara: 23.2 per 100K
  
• 121 cases in Halton: 22.1 per 100K
  
• 28 cases in Brant: 20.6 per 100K
  
• 98 cases in Hamilton: 16.9 per 100K
  
• 99 cases in Waterloo: 16.0 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
  
• 150 cases in Ottawa: 15.1 per 100K
  
• 41 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 15.1 per 100K
  
• 14 cases in Huron Perth: 14.3 per 100K
  
• 49 cases in Windsor-Essex: 12.6 per 100K
  
• 59 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 10.9 per 100K
  
• 12 cases in Lambton: 9.2 per 100K
  
• 18 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 9.0 per 100K
  
• 14 cases in Eastern Ontario: 6.9 per 100K
  
• 14 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 6.9 per 100K
  
• 5 cases in Northwestern: 5.7 per 100K
  
• 5 cases in Thunder Bay: 3.3 per 100K
  
• 3 cases in Chatham-Kent: 2.8 per 100K
  

[danbrotherston]

Utter ingrates...I did not feel safe going to the park while they were there...

Honestly, I am so done with humans as a species.

[ijmorlan]

Don't tread on me, he says, as the police ensure his constitutional right to do exactly what he is doing:

“Don’t tread on me”? What next, are we going to see people flying the Traitors’ flag?

https://www.google.com/search?q=traitors+flag

Thank you for documenting this.

[tomh009]

The difference is not so big now. My question is, how much of the UK/US first-shot slowdown is due to them focusing on second shots, and how much is vaccine hesitancy.

First seven days of May:

• Canada +4.70% (of population) -- fourth-highest in the world, after Mongolia, Iceland and Bahrain
  
• US: +1.66%
  
• UK +1.24%
  

   

[ac3r]

Ontario is preparing to extend the stay-at-home order until June 2: https://www.thestar.com/politics/provinc...une-2.html

[tomh009]

Ontario is preparing to extend the stay-at-home order until June 2: https://www.thestar.com/politics/provinc...une-2.html

That's was pretty much my guess as to what they would end up doing.

[danbrotherston]

I am legit surprised....

I mean, it's absolutely the right thing to do, but I am still surprised.

[tomh009]

MONDAY 2021-05-10

Waterloo Region reported 55 new cases for today (11.0% of the active cases) and one more for yesterday for 67; 392 new cases for the week (-17), averaging 10.1% of active cases. 494 active cases, -134 in the last seven days.

Next testing report on Tuesday.

7,649 doses of vaccine administered over the past three days, with a seven-day average of 3,240. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the regional population on 2021-07-11 (-3 days over the past three days). This date is now trailing the provincial one by 32 days (+2).

Ontario reported 2,716 new cases today with a seven-day average of 3,017 (-103). 3,110 recoveries and 19 deaths translated to a decrease of 413 active cases and a new total of 31,991. -5,006 active cases for the week and 209 deaths (30 per day). 27,175 tests for a positivity rate of 9.99% (high due to the low number of tests, but still lower than a week ago). The positivity rate is averaging 7.36% for the past seven days, compared to 8.06% for the preceding seven.

828 patients in ICU (-20 today, -61 for the week).

94,093 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 122,933. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-06-09 (-1 day) -- less than a month away!

• 707 cases in Peel: 51.2 per 100K
  
• 807 cases in Toronto: 27.5 per 100K
  
• 294 cases in York: 26.5 per 100K
  
• 168 cases in Durham: 26.0 per 100K
  
• 96 cases in Niagara: 21.4 per 100K
  
• 18 cases in Huron Perth: 18.4 per 100K
  
• 106 cases in Hamilton: 18.3 per 100K
  
• 95 cases in Halton: 17.3 per 100K
  
• 41 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 15.1 per 100K
  
• 35 cases in Windsor-Essex: 9.0 per 100K
  
• 86 cases in Ottawa: 8.6 per 100K
  
• 50 cases in Waterloo: 8.1 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
  
• 41 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 7.6 per 100K
  
• 15 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 7.5 per 100K
  
• 28 cases in Middlesex-London: 6.9 per 100K
  
• 9 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 4.4 per 100K
  
• 5 cases in Lambton: 3.8 per 100K
  
• 6 cases in Eastern Ontario: 3.0 per 100K
  
• 3 cases in Brant: 2.2 per 100K
  

[jamincan]

Anyone age 12+ can now preregister in Waterloo!

https://www.regionofwaterloo.ca/en/healt...ccine.aspx

[Chris]

Anyone age 12+ can now preregister in Waterloo!

https://www.regionofwaterloo.ca/en/healt...ccine.aspx

Thanks for the heads up.

[tomh009]

10-day averages for key regions in Ontario, plus the weekly trend as of 2021-05-11b (posting this every two days).

Region	Cases today	per 100K	10-day average	per 100K	Weekly trend
Peel	389	28.1	710	51.4	-15%
Toronto	685	23.4	895	30.5	-29%
Durham	144	22.3	183	28.3	-30%
York	231	20.8	292	26.3	-9%
Hamilton	92	15.9	144	24.9	-51%
Niagara	59	13.2	100	22.3	-29%
Halton	84	15.3	117	21.3	-26%
Middlesex-London	56	13.8	79	19.4	-15%
Brant	20	14.7	24	17.4	-52%
Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph	18	6.6	38	14.1	-17%
Simcoe-Muskoka	39	7.2	68	12.5	-51%
Ottawa	77	7.7	120	12.0	-35%
Windsor-Essex	30	7.7	40	10.4	-18%
Waterloo	56	9.1	63	10.2	+7%
Northwestern	3	3.4	8	9.0	-53%
Huron Perth	3	3.1	8	8.2	+138%
Southwestern Ontario	7	3.5	15	7.6	+10%
Kingston Frontenac	17	8.3	15	7.5	-5%
Eastern Ontario	3	1.5	15	7.2	-49%
Lambton	4	3.1	9	7.1	-34%
Chatham-Kent	3	2.8	4	3.6	-37%
Leeds, Grenville & Lanark	2	1.2	5	3.0	-43%
Thunder Bay		.0	4	2.8	-50%
Ontario total					-23%

[tomh009]

TUESDAY 2021-05-11

Waterloo Region reported 47 new cases for today (9.6% of the active cases) and two more for yesterday for 57; 381 new cases for the week (-9), averaging 10.3% of active cases. 494 active cases, -134 in the last seven days.

An average of only 1,005 tests per day for the past seven days, but the positivity rate is still a respectably low 5.42%.

Only 1,006 doses of vaccine administered, after 261 doses yesterday -- are the regional supplies really that low? A seven-day average of 3,113. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the regional population on 2021-07-14 (+3 days). This date is now trailing the provincial one by 36 days (+4).

Ontario reported 2,073 new cases today with a seven-day average of 2,914 (-103). 2,898 recoveries and 15 deaths translated to a decrease of 840 active cases and a new total of 31,151. -5,289 active cases for the week and 199 deaths (28 per day). 28,109 tests for a positivity rate of just 7.37%. The positivity rate is averaging 7.23% for the past seven days, compared to 7.87% for the preceding seven.

802 patients in ICU (-26 today, -84 for the week).

112,103 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 126,252. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-06-08 (-1 day).

• 389 cases in Peel: 28.1 per 100K
  
• 685 cases in Toronto: 23.4 per 100K
  
• 144 cases in Durham: 22.3 per 100K
  
• 231 cases in York: 20.8 per 100K
  
• 92 cases in Hamilton: 15.9 per 100K
  
• 84 cases in Halton: 15.3 per 100K
  
• 20 cases in Brant: 14.7 per 100K
  
• 56 cases in Middlesex-London: 13.8 per 100K
  
• 59 cases in Niagara: 13.2 per 100K
  
• 56 cases in Waterloo: 9.1 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
  
• 17 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 8.3 per 100K
  
• 77 cases in Ottawa: 7.7 per 100K
  
• 30 cases in Windsor-Essex: 7.7 per 100K
  
• 39 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 7.2 per 100K
  
• 18 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 6.6 per 100K
  
• 7 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 3.5 per 100K
  
• 3 cases in Northwestern: 3.4 per 100K
  
• 3 cases in Huron Perth: 3.1 per 100K
  
• 4 cases in Lambton: 3.1 per 100K
  
• 3 cases in Chatham-Kent: 2.8 per 100K
  
• 9 cases in Sudbury: 2.3 per 100K