03-20-2020, 09:19 PM
(03-20-2020, 05:48 PM)danbrotherston Wrote: This is a rather interesting article about the progress of the disease and what we can do about it:
https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavir...9337092b56
It's quite good indeed. Some of the charts have made-up data and he has a lot of assumptions in order to get to things like the seven weeks to get to the easing of restrictions. But he does admit that he made those up, because the data doesn't exist -- or if it does exist, it's not accessible to the public.
I'll buy into his general concept. His numbers might be off by a factor of two, but even so, 14 weeks of clampdown would be something I could live with. And then the question is what the "new normal" will look like.
But, but, but. If we have uncontrolled, rampant spread of the virus in other countries (cough, cough, south of the border, cough) are we going to need to more or less eliminate travel as part of the "dance"?