The COVID-19 pandemic

[tomh009]

TUESDAY 2021-04-06

Waterloo Region reported 77 (!) new cases for today (21.0% of the active cases) and five more for yesterday for a total of 55; 377 new cases for the week (+57), averaging 15.7% of active cases. 402 active cases, +88 in the last seven days.

An average of 1,191 tests per day for the past seven days, with a positivity rate of 4.52%. Positivity is high, but test volume is also low.

2,479 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 2,864. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the regional population on 2021-07-30 (+6 days).

Ontario reported 3,065 new cases today, with a seven-day average of 2,862 (+104). 1,976 recoveries and eight deaths translated to an increase of 1,081 active cases and a new total of 26,568. +6,758 active cases for the week and 107 deaths (15 per day). 37,541 tests for a positivity rate of 8.16%. The positivity rate is averaging 5.91% for the past seven days, compared to 4.53% for the preceding seven.

510 patients in ICU (+16 today, +123 for the week).

76,199 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 74,208. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-07-14 (-1 day). The regional completion date currently lags the provincial one by 16 days.

• 561 cases in Peel: 40.6 per 100K
  
• 45 cases in Brant: 33.1 per 100K
  
• 955 cases in Toronto: 32.6 per 100K
  
• 88 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 32.4 per 100K
  
• 132 cases in Niagara: 29.5 per 100K
  
• 320 cases in York: 28.8 per 100K
  
• 128 cases in Hamilton: 22.1 per 100K
  
• 119 cases in Halton: 21.7 per 100K
  
• 82 cases in Middlesex-London: 20.3 per 100K
  
• 165 cases in Ottawa: 16.6 per 100K
  
• 101 cases in Durham: 15.6 per 100K
  
• 71 cases in Waterloo: 11.5 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
  
• 19 cases in Leeds, Grenville & Lanark: 11.2 per 100K
  
• 22 cases in Eastern Ontario: 10.9 per 100K
  
• 40 cases in Windsor-Essex: 10.3 per 100K
  
• 55 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 10.2 per 100K
  
• 6 cases in Northwestern: 6.8 per 100K
  
• 23 cases in Sudbury: 5.9 per 100K
  
• 12 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 5.9 per 100K
  
• 11 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 5.5 per 100K
  
• 6 cases in Lambton: 4.6 per 100K
  
• 4 cases in Chatham-Kent: 3.8 per 100K
  
• 3 cases in Huron Perth: 3.1 per 100K
  

Only regions with at least two cases per 100,000 population

[danbrotherston]

TUESDAY 2021-04-06
...
2,479 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 2,864. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the regional population on 2021-07-30 (+6 days).
....

This is beyond disappointing.

[tomh009]

TUESDAY 2021-04-06
...
2,479 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 2,864. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the regional population on 2021-07-30 (+6 days).
....

This is beyond disappointing.

I believe the 2,479 is from Easter Sunday, which would explain the small number of vaccinations.

The 55-65 age group pharmacy vaccinations have now started in the region.

[ac3r]

The circus came to town again: https://www.reddit.com/r/kitchener/comme..._downtown/

[danbrotherston]

The circus came to town again: https://www.reddit.com/r/kitchener/comme..._downtown/

The circus, and I cannot stress this enough...is a local circus.

I mean, the reddit comments are pretty clear for that matter, these children (and I don't mean the short ones) live among us.

[ac3r]

Ontario announcing provincewide stay-at-home order: https://www.680news.com/2021/04/06/ontar...r-sources/

[Bjays93]

Ontario announcing provincewide stay-at-home order: https://www.680news.com/2021/04/06/ontar...r-sources/

I'm so done with this. 

Is it necessary? Arguably yes

The incredible levels of incompetence displayed however, along with the mixed messaging, make this unbearable. 

Everyone know the half assed lockdown wasnt gonna work, but there is absolutely no way that doug and his cronies could have verifiably determined the effectiveness of their "lockdown" either way. 

So what was the point of it? Why wait the extra week for restrictions? Why are schools still allowed to stay open? Why do police get more powers only now? Why is the 3rd lockdown the most strict? Why was none of this done in the first place? Why were businesses told they could reopen, so they spent all this money only to be shut down again?

No gov relief, no sick days, no power to schools or businesses to enforce mask wearing, no reduced electricity costs this time.

All this pain couldve been avoided had our last lockdown lasted a little longer, instead more people are hurting, more businesses are going under, we'll be locked down for even longer, all around the situation is more of a disaster. 

This gross mismanagement is totally unacceptable. I've been pro lockdown all the way along but I can in no way support the way things have been handled and sympathize with businesses, and people affected by this shit. There's a human cost to covid but an equally glaring human cost to our governments failures.

[plam]

So what was the point of it? Why wait the extra week for restrictions? Why are schools still allowed to stay open? Why do police get more powers only now? Why is the 3rd lockdown the most strict? Why was none of this done in the first place? Why were businesses told they could reopen, so they spent all this money only to be shut down again?

Too little, two weeks too late...

NZ: Go early & go hard
Australia: Go late & go hard
Ontario: ...

It was also a really important explicitly-stated goal in NZ to avoid the need to bounce up and down the alert levels for the excellent reasons that you cite.

[jamincan]

Ontario announcing provincewide stay-at-home order: https://www.680news.com/2021/04/06/ontar...r-sources/

I'm so done with this. 

Is it necessary? Arguably yes

The incredible levels of incompetence displayed however, along with the mixed messaging, make this unbearable. 

Everyone know the half assed lockdown wasnt gonna work, but there is absolutely no way that doug and his cronies could have verifiably determined the effectiveness of their "lockdown" either way. 

So what was the point of it? Why wait the extra week for restrictions? Why are schools still allowed to stay open? Why do police get more powers only now? Why is the 3rd lockdown the most strict? Why was none of this done in the first place? Why were businesses told they could reopen, so they spent all this money only to be shut down again?

No gov relief, no sick days, no power to schools or businesses to enforce mask wearing, no reduced electricity costs this time.

All this pain couldve been avoided had our last lockdown lasted a little longer, instead more people are hurting, more businesses are going under, we'll be locked down for even longer, all around the situation is more of a disaster. 

This gross mismanagement is totally unacceptable. I've been pro lockdown all the way along but I can in no way support the way things have been handled and sympathize with businesses, and people affected by this shit. There's a human cost to covid but an equally glaring human cost to our governments failures.

You know what you can accomplish in a week? Polling. Genuinely I believe our public healthy policy is governed by PR.

[tomh009]

10-day averages for key regions in Ontario, plus the weekly trend as of 2021-04-07 (posting this every two days).

Region	Cases today	per 100K	10-day average	per 100K	Weekly trend
Peel	596	43.1	503	36.4	+36%
Toronto	1,095	37.4	868	29.6	+37%
York	342	30.8	302	27.2	+34%
Durham	187	29.0	146	22.7	+9%
Middlesex-London	113	27.9	91	22.4	+41%
Hamilton	104	18.0	110	18.9	+3%
Ottawa	225	22.6	175	17.5	+52%
Niagara	46	10.3	78	17.3	+54%
Brant	17	12.5	21	15.7	+61%
Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph	42	15.4	41	15.1	+143%
Halton	75	13.7	83	15.0	+17%
Eastern Ontario	32	15.8	30	15.0	+1%
Lambton	3	2.3	16	12.1	-60%
Simcoe-Muskoka	68	12.6	61	11.4	+33%
Windsor-Essex	38	9.8	42	10.9	+10%
Thunder Bay	9	6.0	14	9.1	-62%
Waterloo	74	12.0	52	8.3	+49%
Chatham-Kent	2	1.9	8	7.4	-51%
Southwestern Ontario	9	4.5	14	7.2	-12%
Leeds, Grenville & Lanark	12	7.1	11	6.2	+32%
Sudbury	29	7.5	22	5.8	+48%
Northwestern	6	6.8	5	5.2	+72%
Kingston Frontenac	22	10.8	8	4.1	+176%
Huron Perth	1	1.0	3	3.1	+35%
Ontario total					+28%

[KevinL]

Central Kitchener neighbourhoods identified by province as COVID-19 hot spot

[tomh009]

This is beyond disappointing.

I believe the 2,479 is from Easter Sunday, which would explain the small number of vaccinations.

The 55-65 age group pharmacy vaccinations have now started in the region.

My explanation fails. Today's number is only 2,372 and that's certainly not for the weekend. I have no idea why the numbers are lower than last week.

[taylortbb]

I believe the 2,479 is from Easter Sunday, which would explain the small number of vaccinations.

The 55-65 age group pharmacy vaccinations have now started in the region.

My explanation fails. Today's number is only 2,372 and that's certainly not for the weekend. I have no idea why the numbers are lower than last week.

According to https://covid19tracker.ca/provincevac.html?p=ON Ontario is at 104k today, which is an all-time record (previous high was 90k). So there must be some factor locally, are not enough people registering?

There was some confusion on Reddit, where the fact the region describes it as "pre-registration" means some people thought that meant they weren't actually vaccinating those groups yet. If that misunderstanding is widespread maybe people are waiting before signing up because they think it's just pre-registration, and not an actual booking system.

[tomh009]

My explanation fails. Today's number is only 2,372 and that's certainly not for the weekend. I have no idea why the numbers are lower than last week.

According to https://covid19tracker.ca/provincevac.html?p=ON Ontario is at 104k today, which is an all-time record (previous high was 90k). So there must be some factor locally, are not enough people registering?

Or the provincial government is providing more vaccines to GTA and other hard-hit areas?

[taylortbb]

According to https://covid19tracker.ca/provincevac.html?p=ON Ontario is at 104k today, which is an all-time record (previous high was 90k). So there must be some factor locally, are not enough people registering?

Or the provincial government is providing more vaccines to GTA and other hard-hit areas?

They are, but they were doing that before too. So I'd still expect our numbers to be an increase from last week, given the overall numbers are.

Unless the province has changed the degree to which they redirect doses to the GTA, but that seems like it'd have made the news.