04-09-2021, 09:48 AM
Starting Monday, the province has ordered hospitals across Ontario to terminate all non-emergency operations to cope with surging ICU numbers: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/c...-1.5980755
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The COVID-19 pandemic
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The COVID-19 pandemic
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04-09-2021, 10:39 AM
04-09-2021, 10:54 AM
10-day averages for key regions in Ontario, plus the weekly trend as of 2021-04-09 (posting this every two days).
04-09-2021, 10:56 AM
(04-09-2021, 09:48 AM)ac3r Wrote: Starting Monday, the province has ordered hospitals across Ontario to terminate all non-emergency operations to cope with surging ICU numbers: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/c...-1.5980755 It's ugly all right.
04-09-2021, 10:59 AM
(04-08-2021, 10:24 PM)tomh009 Wrote:(04-08-2021, 07:13 PM)danbrotherston Wrote: Do we have an official (or an unofficial but first hand) source on this? York (with 1.6x our population) has delivered 2.2x the doses of Waterloo Region. I don't think our region is sitting on an inventory of doses, either. But, admittedly, York has 4.5x the per-100K infection rate so the situation is definitely more desperate there. 
04-09-2021, 11:38 AM
Yeah this is clearly a triage situation and is probably the humanitarian thing to do.
04-09-2021, 12:11 PM
Today's numbers are ugly. And they will keep rising for at least another week. The outlook isnt that great and tons of people were still out yesterday.
04-09-2021, 12:42 PM
(04-09-2021, 12:11 PM)Bjays93 Wrote: Today's numbers are ugly. And they will keep rising for at least another week. The outlook isnt that great and tons of people were still out yesterday. Yes, mid-to-late next week before any impact from the stay-at-home will be visible. I expect we'll hit 5,500 cases provincially and maybe 6,000. Hopefully the new rules will help turn that around before it's 7,000. I'm less worried about outside activity, in the end, than indoor parties, family events and other activities.
04-09-2021, 12:57 PM
04-09-2021, 03:19 PM
FRIDAY 2021-04-09
Waterloo Region reported 74 new cases for today (16.8% of the active cases) and one fewer for yesterday for a total of 56; 431 new cases for the week (+15), averaging 15.8% of active cases. 438 active cases, +113 in the last seven days. An average of 1,371 tests per day for the past week for a positivity rate of 4.28%. 3,365 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 2,546 -- the number for today is improved but the average still dropped as this is the first "good" day since 01 April. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the regional population on 2021-08-14 (+2 days). Ontario reported 4,227 new cases today, with a seven-day average of 3,256 (+163). 2,641 recoveries and 18 deaths translated to an increase of 1,568 active cases and a new total of 29,627. +7,611 active cases for the week and 100 deaths (14 per day). 61,410 tests for a positivity rate of 6.88%. The positivity rate is averaging 6.62% for the past seven days, compared to 4.88% for the preceding seven. 552 patients in ICU (+56 today, +117 for the week) and 1,492 total hospital beds in use (+330 for the week). 105,832 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 82,239. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-07-03 (-3 days). The regional completion date currently lags the provincial one by 41 days (+4 today).
Only regions with at least two cases per 100,000 population
04-10-2021, 09:02 PM
SATURDAY 2021-04-10
Waterloo Region reported 70 new cases for today (14.7% of the active cases) and seven more for yesterday for a total of 81; 450 new cases for the week (+19), averaging 15.7% of active cases. 499 active cases, +122 in the last seven days. Next testing report on Tuesday. Next vaccination report on Monday. Ontario reported 3,813 new cases today, with a seven-day average of 3,371 (+115). 2,422 recoveries and 19 deaths translated to an increase of 1,372 active cases and a new total of 30,999. +7,809 active cases for the week and 103 deaths (15 per day). 61,439 tests for a positivity rate of 6.21%. The positivity rate is averaging 6.78% for the past seven days, compared to 5.04% for the preceding seven. 585 patients in ICU (+33 today, +134 for the week) and 1,524 total hospital beds in use. 104,783 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 88,698. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-06-27 (-6 days).
Only regions with at least two cases per 100,000 population
04-10-2021, 09:36 PM
These are VERY bad numbers for Ontario...only pretty bad for Waterloo.
I hear London is also VERY bad.
04-10-2021, 10:05 PM
(04-10-2021, 09:36 PM)danbrotherston Wrote: These are VERY bad numbers for Ontario...only pretty bad for Waterloo. Indeed they are. Will the stay-at-home help? I really don't know at this point. The order went into effect on Thursday morning. Five or so days minimum to start seeing some impact (assuming there is one) -- based on days from infection to positive test -- plus two days of provincial reporting lag, so Thursday-ish. I hope it works, because I don't know that they have anything better in reserve. And the ICU numbers will get much worse yet, even if stay-at-home works.
04-11-2021, 03:08 PM
10-day averages for key regions in Ontario, plus the weekly trend as of 2021-04-11 (posting this every two days).
04-11-2021, 03:22 PM
SUNDAY 2021-04-11
Waterloo Region reported 51 new cases for today (14.7% of the active cases) and none more for yesterday for a total of 70; 463 new cases for the week (+13), averaging 15.8% of active cases. 492 active cases, +130 in the last seven days. Next testing report on Tuesday. Next vaccination report on Monday. Ontario reported 4,456 new cases today, another new record, with a seven-day average of 3,573 (+202). 2,617 recoveries and 21 deaths translated to an increase of 1,818 active cases and a new total of 32,817. +8,497 active cases for the week and 112 deaths (16 per day). 56,378 tests for a positivity rate of 7.90%. The positivity rate is averaging 6.97% for the past seven days, compared to 5.28% for the preceding seven. 605 patients in ICU (+20 today, +129 for the week). 94,794 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 92,365. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-06-24 (-3 days).
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