Login

**tomh009** · 05-01-2021, 02:09 PM

SATURDAY 2021-05-01

Waterloo Region reported 56 new cases for today (9.2% of the active cases) and no additional ones for yesterday for a total of 65; 453 new cases for the week (-74), averaging 10.0% of active cases. 569 active cases, -81 in the last seven days.

Next testing report on Tuesday.

Next vaccination report on Monday.

Ontario reported 3,369 new cases today with a seven-day average of 3,618 (-104). 3,964 recoveries and 29 deaths translated to a decrease of 624 active cases and a new total of 37,438. -4,035 active cases for the week and 192 deaths (27 per day). 46,803 tests for a positivity rate of 7.20%. The positivity rate is averaging 8.10% for the past seven days, compared to 8.23% for the preceding seven.

900 patients in ICU (+17 today, +67 for the week) and a total hospital population of 2,152 (-125 for the week). The hospital population seems to have stabilized in the 2200s for the moment, but the ICU admissions (which lag hospital admissions) are still going up, albeit not as rapidly as before.

107,700 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 103,902. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-06-15 (+1 days). The weekly vaccination total was down 7.2% from the week before -- and this doesn't appear to be supply, unless the province is holding some back until the next shipment (there are still 400K doses in inventory, and the last delivery was on Tuesday).

819 cases in Peel: 59.3 per 100K
1,050 cases in Toronto: 35.8 per 100K
107 cases in Middlesex-London: 26.4 per 100K
286 cases in York: 25.8 per 100K
157 cases in Durham: 24.3 per 100K
127 cases in Halton: 23.2 per 100K
132 cases in Hamilton: 22.8 per 100K
89 cases in Niagara: 19.9 per 100K
158 cases in Ottawa: 15.9 per 100K
42 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 15.4 per 100K
90 cases in Waterloo: 14.6 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
71 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 13.1 per 100K
41 cases in Windsor-Essex: 10.5 per 100K
21 cases in Eastern Ontario: 10.4 per 100K
16 cases in Leeds, Grenville & Lanark: 9.4 per 100K
12 cases in Lambton: 9.2 per 100K
17 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 8.5 per 100K
11 cases in Brant: 8.1 per 100K
7 cases in Northwestern: 8.0 per 100K
6 cases in Huron Perth: 6.1 per 100K
19 cases in Sudbury: 4.9 per 100K
9 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 4.4 per 100K
5 cases in Thunder Bay: 3.3 per 100K
3 cases in Chatham-Kent: 2.8 per 100K

Only regions with at least two cases per 100,000 population

**tomh009** · 05-03-2021, 10:56 AM

10-day averages for key regions in Ontario, plus the weekly trend as of 2021-05-03 (posting this every two days).

Region	Cases today	per 100K	10-day average	per 100K	Weekly trend
Peel	714	51.7	819	59.2	-15%
Toronto	985	33.6	1,108	37.8	-1%
Durham	271	42.0	220	34.1	+11%
York	351	31.6	355	32.0	-24%
Niagara	127	28.4	137	30.7	-15%
Hamilton	194	33.5	156	26.9	+62%
Halton	159	29.0	133	24.2	+6%
Middlesex-London	61	15.1	93	23.1	-15%
Brant	17	12.5	27	20.0	-14%
Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph	41	15.1	50	18.2	-30%
Ottawa	130	13.1	171	17.2	-14%
Simcoe-Muskoka	101	18.7	86	15.8	+4%
Windsor-Essex	47	12.1	48	12.4	-14%
Waterloo	106	17.2	74	12.0	-24%
Northwestern	10	11.4	10	11.2	+22%
Eastern Ontario	15	7.4	20	9.8	-18%
Southwestern Ontario	15	7.5	17	8.7	-33%
Lambton	5	3.8	10	7.4	+13%
Kingston Frontenac	12	5.9	11	5.3	-10%
Huron Perth	4	4.1	5	4.9	-33%
Leeds, Grenville & Lanark	2	1.2	8	4.6	-38%
Thunder Bay	5	3.3	6	4.1	-44%
Chatham-Kent	4	3.8	4	3.9	+12%
Sudbury	6	1.5	9	2.2	-10%
Ontario total					-7%

**tomh009** · 05-03-2021, 01:54 PM

SUNDAY 2021-05-02

Waterloo Region reported 90 new cases for today (15.7% of the active cases); 443 new cases for the week (-10), averaging 10.7% of active cases. 593 active cases, -115 in the last seven days.

Next testing report on Tuesday.

Next vaccination report on Monday.

Ontario reported 3,732 new cases today with a seven-day average of 3,598 (-30). 3,947 recoveries and 23 deaths translated to a decrease of 238 active cases and a new total of 37,200. -3,957 active cases for the week and 191 deaths (27 per day). 45,301 tests for a positivity rate of 8.24%. The positivity rate is averaging 8.07% for the past seven days, compared to 8.31% for the preceding seven.

895 patients in ICU (-5 today, +44 for the week).

76,685 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 99,638. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-06-17 (+2 days).

797 cases in Peel: 57.7 per 100K
237 cases in Hamilton: 40.9 per 100K
1,198 cases in Toronto: 40.9 per 100K
232 cases in Durham: 35.9 per 100K
44 cases in Brant: 32.4 per 100K
306 cases in York: 27.6 per 100K
119 cases in Niagara: 26.6 per 100K
129 cases in Halton: 23.5 per 100K
84 cases in Middlesex-London: 20.8 per 100K
102 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 18.9 per 100K
50 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 18.4 per 100K
180 cases in Ottawa: 18.1 per 100K
12 cases in Northwestern: 13.7 per 100K
46 cases in Windsor-Essex: 11.8 per 100K
23 cases in Eastern Ontario: 11.3 per 100K
14 cases in Lambton: 10.7 per 100K
12 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 6.0 per 100K
6 cases in Chatham-Kent: 5.7 per 100K
33 cases in Waterloo: 5.3 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
9 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 4.4 per 100K
4 cases in Thunder Bay: 2.7 per 100K
4 cases in Leeds, Grenville & Lanark: 2.4 per 100K

Only regions with at least two cases per 100,000 population

**tomh009** · 05-03-2021, 02:10 PM

MONDAY 2021-05-03

Waterloo Region reported 62 new cases for today (10.5% of the active cases); 460 new cases for the week (+17), averaging 10.7% of active cases. 577 active cases, -93 in the last seven days.

Next testing report on Tuesday.

An average of 2,121 doses of vaccine administered over the past three days, with a seven-day average of 3,796. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the regional population on 2021-07-01 (+11 days) -- the low vaccination rates over the weekend really pushed this date back. This date is now trailing the provincial one by 12 days (+6 over the past three days).

Ontario reported 3,436 new cases today with a seven-day average of 3,577 (-21). 3,623 recoveries and 16 deaths translated to a decrease of 203 active cases and a new total of 36,997. -3,589 active cases for the week and 183 deaths (26 per day). 33,179 tests for a positivity rate of 10.36%. The positivity rate is averaging 8.06% for the past seven days, compared to 8.31% for the preceding seven.

889 patients in ICU (-6 today, +12 for the week).

53,885 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 97,434. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-06-19 (+2 days).

714 cases in Peel: 51.7 per 100K
271 cases in Durham: 42.0 per 100K
985 cases in Toronto: 33.6 per 100K
194 cases in Hamilton: 33.5 per 100K
351 cases in York: 31.6 per 100K
159 cases in Halton: 29.0 per 100K
127 cases in Niagara: 28.4 per 100K
101 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 18.7 per 100K
106 cases in Waterloo: 17.2 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
41 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 15.1 per 100K
61 cases in Middlesex-London: 15.1 per 100K
130 cases in Ottawa: 13.1 per 100K
17 cases in Brant: 12.5 per 100K
47 cases in Windsor-Essex: 12.1 per 100K
10 cases in Northwestern: 11.4 per 100K
15 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 7.5 per 100K
15 cases in Eastern Ontario: 7.4 per 100K
12 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 5.9 per 100K
4 cases in Huron Perth: 4.1 per 100K
5 cases in Lambton: 3.8 per 100K
4 cases in Chatham-Kent: 3.8 per 100K
5 cases in Thunder Bay: 3.3 per 100K
4 cases in Chatham-Kent: 3.8 per 100K
5 cases in Thunder Bay: 3.3 per 100K

Only regions with at least two cases per 100,000 population

**tomh009** · 05-04-2021, 03:21 PM

TUESDAY 2021-05-04

Waterloo Region reported 44 new cases for today (7.6% of the active cases) and none more for yesterday for 62; 455 new cases for the week (-5), averaging 10.7% of active cases. 559 active cases, -93 in the last seven days.

An average of 1,055 daily tests for the past week for a positivity rate of 6.16%.

1,878 doses of vaccine administered with a seven-day average of 3,380. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the regional population on 2021-07-08 (+7 days). This date is now trailing the provincial one by 19 days (+7). Apparently, half the vaccine supply is now being redirected to hot spots, most of which are outside our region.

Ontario reported 2,791 new cases today -- first time below 3,000 since the end of March -- with a seven-day average of 3,509 (-68). 3,323 recoveries and 25 deaths translated to a decrease of 557 active cases and a new total of 36,440. -3,474 active cases for the week and 179 deaths (26 per day). 33,740 tests for a positivity rate of 8.27%. The positivity rate is averaging 7.87% for the past seven days, finally back down below 8%, compared to 8.46% for the preceding seven.

886 patients in ICU (-3 today, +11 for the week) and a total hospital population of 2,167 (-169 for the week).

88,871 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 96,584. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-06-19 (+0 days).

653 cases in Peel: 47.3 per 100K
931 cases in Toronto: 31.8 per 100K
275 cases in York: 24.8 per 100K
147 cases in Durham: 22.8 per 100K
128 cases in Hamilton: 22.1 per 100K
89 cases in Niagara: 19.9 per 100K
101 cases in Halton: 18.4 per 100K
25 cases in Brant: 18.4 per 100K
61 cases in Middlesex-London: 15.1 per 100K
112 cases in Ottawa: 11.3 per 100K
52 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 9.6 per 100K
19 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 9.3 per 100K
25 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 9.2 per 100K
56 cases in Waterloo: 9.1 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
34 cases in Windsor-Essex: 8.7 per 100K
7 cases in Northwestern: 8.0 per 100K
11 cases in Eastern Ontario: 5.4 per 100K
6 cases in Lambton: 4.6 per 100K
9 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 4.5 per 100K
7 cases in Leeds, Grenville & Lanark: 4.1 per 100K

Only regions with at least two cases per 100,000 population

**danbrotherston** · 05-04-2021, 03:31 PM

Well case numbers are looking slightly better.

But what's with vaccination numbers. Our region losing supply almost explains our numbers...and I would certainly prefer lower numbers to more vaccines...they should go to those most in need.

But the provincial numbers are also significantly down. We were pushing 130k a week ago, 90k is a 30% decrease?!

**taylortbb** · (This post was last modified: 05-04-2021, 03:56 PM by taylortbb.)

(05-04-2021, 03:31 PM)danbrotherston Wrote: But the provincial numbers are also significantly down. We were pushing 130k a week ago, 90k is a 30% decrease?!

The 130k days were from AstraZeneca. We've now returned to same Pfizer + Moderna volumes that we were at before the AstraZeneca eligibility opened up (back when AstraZeneca was going unused), as we've run out of AstraZeneca.

Starting this week Pfizer deliveries have picked up, Ontario will be getting 112k/day. Beyond that it's a question of what else we receive. We're expecting some Moderna, but their deliveries have been unreliable. If they can manage 1M every two weeks (which is more than they ever have) that's still only 27k/day for Ontario, for a total of 139k/day in Ontario.

We might get some AstraZeneca from the US, but with India blocking exports we're cut off from the Covax supply. The Johnson & Johnson doses that we did receive came from the highly questionable Emergent factory in Baltimore, so we'll see if they're even usable, and the volume is again tiny.

Moderna says they'll get us more volume in June, but for May I really wouldn't be counting on much significant volume beyond the Pfizer supply. I think the only way that might change is if Moderna starts exporting from the US this month.

**tomh009** · 05-04-2021, 08:52 PM

(05-04-2021, 03:46 PM)taylortbb Wrote:
(05-04-2021, 03:31 PM)danbrotherston Wrote: But the provincial numbers are also significantly down. We were pushing 130k a week ago, 90k is a 30% decrease?!

Starting this week Pfizer deliveries have picked up, Ontario will be getting 112k/day. Beyond that it's a question of what else we receive. We're expecting some Moderna, but their deliveries have been unreliable. If they can manage 1M every two weeks (which is more than they ever have) that's still only 27k/day for Ontario, for a total of 139k/day in Ontario.

1M doses (of Pfizer, probably?) delivered to Ontario today (or possibly yesterday) so the inventory should be OK for the moment. I do expect that they slowed down the pace as the stocks were getting lower, hopefully the pace will pick up again in the next few days.

**taylortbb** · 05-05-2021, 01:18 AM

(05-04-2021, 08:52 PM)tomh009 Wrote: 1M doses (of Pfizer, probably?) delivered to Ontario today (or possibly yesterday) so the inventory should be OK for the moment. I do expect that they slowed down the pace as the stocks were getting lower, hopefully the pace will pick up again in the next few days.

Ontario isn't that high a percentage of Canada's population, 1M is Pfizer and Moderna. 786k/week of Pfizer for Ontario at the new 2M/week delivery rate. That's a daily average of 112k, which is down from the recent AstraZeneca-induced peak.

We hit 1M delivered this week because of the Moderna, but they only deliver every other week and quantities are unpredictable. I do think they'll ramp up, they've said we're getting another 10M Moderna by the end of June. But until they start shipping from the US factories it'll be unpredictable and likely heavily loaded towards the end of June.

**tomh009** · 05-05-2021, 09:01 AM

10M doses of Moderna and about 20M doses of BioNTech-Pfizer by the end of next month. Plus, possibly some AZ and J&J. That should be 11M+ for Ontario, I think.

Doing 200K doses on weekdays and 100K on weekend would use up about 10M doses so this level should be achievable from the supply point of view. That would take us to about 2.5x the vaccination level of today, or about 90% (in practice some of those will be second doses already) by the end of June.

**tomh009** · 05-05-2021, 11:00 AM

10-day averages for key regions in Ontario, plus the weekly trend as of 2021-05-05 (posting this every two days).

Region	Cases today	per 100K	10-day average	per 100K	Weekly trend
Peel	565	40.9	749	54.2	-16%
Toronto	924	31.5	1,061	36.2	-7%
Durham	171	26.5	211	32.7	-15%
York	254	22.9	326	29.4	-28%
Hamilton	149	25.7	159	27.5	+23%
Niagara	108	24.1	123	27.4	-7%
Halton	114	20.8	128	23.3	-10%
Middlesex-London	114	28.2	91	22.4	-11%
Brant	31	22.8	27	19.5	+4%
Ottawa	140	14.1	160	16.1	-25%
Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph	27	9.9	40	14.6	-14%
Simcoe-Muskoka	65	12.0	78	14.3	-2%
Windsor-Essex	47	12.1	46	11.9	-18%
Northwestern	2	2.3	9	9.9	-18%
Waterloo	45	7.3	61	9.9	+8%
Eastern Ontario	12	5.9	16	7.8	+17%
Lambton	17	13.0	10	7.6	+39%
Southwestern Ontario	18	9.0	15	7.6	-14%
Kingston Frontenac	25	12.2	13	6.4	+58%
Huron Perth	11	11.2	5	4.8	+29%
Leeds, Grenville & Lanark	12	7.1	8	4.5	+14%
Chatham-Kent	5	4.7	4	4.0	-21%
Thunder Bay	8	5.3	5	3.3	+26%
Sudbury	9	2.3	9	2.3	-32%
Ontario total					-11%

**tomh009** · 05-05-2021, 03:57 PM

WEDNESDAY 2021-05-05

Waterloo Region reported 24 new cases for today (4.1% of the active cases) and 11 more for yesterday for 55; 426 new cases for the week (-29), averaging 10.1% of active cases. 521 active cases, -113 in the last seven days.

Next testing report on Friday.

4,533 doses of vaccine administered with a seven-day average of 3,307. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the regional population on 2021-07-09 (+1 days). This date is now trailing the provincial one by 22 days (+3).

Ontario reported 2,941 new cases today with a seven-day average of 3,432 (-77). 4,361 recoveries and 44 deaths translated to a decrease of 1,464 active cases and a new total of 34,976. -3,877 active cases for the week and 199 deaths (28 per day). 45,767 tests for a positivity rate of 6.43%. The positivity rate is averaging 7.80% for the past seven days, compared to 8.29% for the preceding seven.

882 patients in ICU (-4 today, +5 for the week) and a total hospital population of 2,075 (-206 for the week).

132,603 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 98,931. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-06-18 (-1 days).

565 cases in Peel: 40.9 per 100K
924 cases in Toronto: 31.5 per 100K
114 cases in Middlesex-London: 28.2 per 100K
171 cases in Durham: 26.5 per 100K
149 cases in Hamilton: 25.7 per 100K
108 cases in Niagara: 24.1 per 100K
254 cases in York: 22.9 per 100K
31 cases in Brant: 22.8 per 100K
114 cases in Halton: 20.8 per 100K
140 cases in Ottawa: 14.1 per 100K
17 cases in Lambton: 13.0 per 100K
25 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 12.2 per 100K
47 cases in Windsor-Essex: 12.1 per 100K
65 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 12.0 per 100K
11 cases in Huron Perth: 11.2 per 100K
27 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 9.9 per 100K
18 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 9.0 per 100K
45 cases in Waterloo: 7.3 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
12 cases in Leeds, Grenville & Lanark: 7.1 per 100K
12 cases in Eastern Ontario: 5.9 per 100K
8 cases in Thunder Bay: 5.3 per 100K
5 cases in Chatham-Kent: 4.7 per 100K
9 cases in Sudbury: 2.3 per 100K
2 cases in Northwestern: 2.3 per 100K

Only regions with at least two cases per 100,000 population

A new daily high for Kingston-Frontenac.b

ac3r · 05-05-2021, 04:44 PM

Health Canada has approved the Pfizer vaccine for youth aged 12 to 15: https://twitter.com/CBCAlerts/status/138...1717712899

**jeffster** · 05-05-2021, 06:53 PM

(05-05-2021, 04:44 PM)ac3r Wrote: Health Canada has approved the Pfizer vaccine for youth aged 12 to 15: https://twitter.com/CBCAlerts/status/138...1717712899

Should be noted: Pfizer was effective in preventing covid-19 in this age group 100% (2,200 in the US study). More great news on the horizon.

Hopefully we can see more millennials and boomers getting the vaccine. Seems that the most interested groups are the "Greatest Gens", "Silent Gens", "Gen X'ers" and "Zoomers".

**tomh009** · 05-06-2021, 01:45 PM

THURSDAY 2021-05-06

Waterloo Region reported 61 new cases for today (11.7% of the active cases) and zero more for yesterday for 24; 421 new cases for the week (-5), averaging 10.2% of active cases. 520 active cases, -100 in the last seven days.

Next testing report on Friday.

4,124 doses of vaccine administered with a seven-day average of 3,161. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the regional population on 2021-07-12 (+3 days). This date is now trailing the provincial one by 26 days (+4).

Ontario reported 3,424 new cases today with a seven-day average of 3,369 (-63). 3,997 recoveries and 26 deaths translated to a decrease of 599 active cases and a new total of 34,377. -4,061 active cases for the week and 184 deaths (26 per day). 54,118 tests for a positivity rate of 6.33%, the lowest in over four weeks. The positivity rate is averaging 7.73% for the past seven days, compared to 8.29% for the preceding seven.

877 patients in ICU (-5 today, -7 for the week) and a total hospital population of 1,964 (-464 for the week). The hospital population is now dropping steadily, and the ICU population may have peaked. Next week will tell the tale.

A new record of 141,038 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 101,856. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the provincial population on 2021-06-16 (-2 days).

900 cases in Peel: 65.1 per 100K
958 cases in Toronto: 32.7 per 100K
127 cases in Niagara: 28.4 per 100K
175 cases in Durham: 27.1 per 100K
155 cases in Hamilton: 26.8 per 100K
291 cases in York: 26.2 per 100K
129 cases in Halton: 23.5 per 100K
89 cases in Middlesex-London: 22.0 per 100K
95 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 17.6 per 100K
15 cases in Northwestern: 17.1 per 100K
23 cases in Brant: 16.9 per 100K
41 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 15.1 per 100K
23 cases in Eastern Ontario: 11.3 per 100K
108 cases in Ottawa: 10.9 per 100K
42 cases in Windsor-Essex: 10.8 per 100K
10 cases in Huron Perth: 10.2 per 100K
63 cases in Waterloo: 10.2 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
20 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 9.8 per 100K
15 cases in Southwestern Ontario: 7.5 per 100K
8 cases in Lambton: 6.1 per 100K
9 cases in Thunder Bay: 6.0 per 100K
10 cases in Leeds, Grenville & Lanark: 5.9 per 100K
5 cases in Chatham-Kent: 4.7 per 100K
11 cases in Sudbury: 2.8 per 100K

Only regions with at least two cases per 100,000 population

Login
Username:
Password:	Lost Password?
	Remember me

About Waterloo Region Connected

Quick Links

User Links